Volatile Times Featuring Alan Elrod, Zaha Hassan, Lara Friedman, and Rick Roberts


In this episode, Alan Elrod, Founder of The Pulaski Institution, discusses the importance of improving political discourse and outreach. Then, Zaha Hassan, Fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and Lara Friedman, President of the Foundation for Middle East Peace, lay out the current challenges for the people of Gaza and Palestinian American activists. Finally, Economics Professor Rick Roberts brings us up to speed about the impact of President Trump’s tariffs.
Link to Zaha and Lara's book: https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/10/suppressing-dissent-shrinking-civic-space-transnational-repression-and-palestine-israel?lang=en
00:06 - Welcome to A Moment with Erik Fleming
01:57 - Volatile Times Ahead
05:58 - A Moment of News
06:01 - Interview with Alan Elrod
15:21 - Understanding Global Politics
20:21 - The Politics of the South
23:29 - The Shift in American Christianity
27:12 - The Future of Liberalism
41:37 - Guests Zaha Hassan and Lara Friedman
44:12 - Discussing Palestine-Israel Issues
58:18 - The Humanitarian Crisis in Gaza
01:01:48 - The U.S. Role in Gaza
01:14:14 - Insight from Rick Roberts
01:40:33 - Reflections on Today’s Discussions
WEBVTT
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Welcome. I'm Erik Fleming, host of A Moment with Erik Fleming, the podcast of our time.
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I want to personally thank you for listening to the podcast.
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If you like what you're hearing, then I need you to do a few things.
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First, I need subscribers. I'm on Patreon at patreon.com slash amomentwitherikfleming.
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Your subscription allows an independent podcaster like me the freedom to speak
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truth to power, and to expand and improve the show.
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Second, leave a five-star review for the podcast on the streaming service you
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listen to it. That will help the podcast tremendously.
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Third, go to the website, momenteric.com. There you can subscribe to the podcast,
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leave reviews and comments, listen to past episodes, and even learn a little bit about your host.
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Tell someone else about the podcast. Encourage others to listen to the podcast
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and share the podcast on your social media platforms, because it is time to
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make this moment a movement.
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Thanks in advance for supporting the podcast of our time. I hope you enjoy this episode as well.
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The following program is hosted by the NbG Podcast Network.
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Music.
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Welcome to another moment with Erik Fleming. I am your host, Erik Fleming.
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And today we have a jam-packed podcast.
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Yeah. You know, what started out, maybe a couple of guests,
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we got four, four of the sharpest, most intelligent people that come on and
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talk about the volatility that's going on, whether it's dealing with American politics,
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what's going on in the Middle East, or even the economy.
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We are living in some volatile times. And so I have four people coming on who
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are going to break down this volatile moment in our society.
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And hopefully you will get some enlightenment.
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Hopefully you will get some hope and some encouragement and maybe get us to
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start thinking more about solutions,
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whether it's changing of the electorate or lining up on issues,
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shaping your opinion on issues more clearly, that kind of thing.
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So this is really, really a challenging time as well as being volatile.
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And so I am really grateful that I've been able to have these guests come on,
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and hopefully you will enjoy this program as well.
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So, since it's a jam-packed show, we're going to go ahead and get it started.
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As always, we start it off with a moment of news with Grace G.
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Music.
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Thanks, Erik. President Trump reversed steep tariffs on multiple nations,
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citing financial market turmoil and surging bond yields as motivators.
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Millions globally protested President Trump and Elon Musk over perceived attacks
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on democracy and billionaire overreach, with demonstrations in all 50 states and internationally.
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A second unvaccinated child with no underlying health conditions died from measles-related
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pulmonary failure in Texas amid an outbreak of nearly 500 cases across Texas and New Mexico. The U.S.
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Senate and House each passed their version of a budget plan to extend Trump-era
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tax cuts and reduce spending A federal judge allowed a defamation lawsuit by
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the Central Park Five against Donald Trump over his 2024 campaign comments to proceed.
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The National Park Service restored mentions of Harriet Tubman's slavery and
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the Fugitive Slave Act it had removed from its Underground Railroad webpage.
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President Trump dismissed NSA Director Timothy Haw following a meeting with
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far-right activist Laura Loomer.
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The U.S. Supreme Court blocked a federal judge's order requiring the Trump administration
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to rehire thousands of dismissed probationary workers.
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The North Carolina Supreme Court temporarily halted an appellate ruling that
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would invalidate over 60,000 ballots in a contested state Supreme Court race.
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A federal judge ordered the White House to restore the Associated Press's access
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after restrictions were imposed over its coverage referring to the Gulf of Mexico. Three U.S.
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Citizens imprisoned in Congo for a failed coup were transferred to American
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custody after their death sentences were commuted.
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Three U.S. aid workers in Myanmar were abruptly laid off during earthquake relief
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efforts amid USAID budget cuts, hampering disaster response as the death toll climbs to 3,645.
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And a nightclub roof collapse in the Dominican Republic killed 221 people and injured over 189.
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I am Grace Gee, and this has been A Moment of News.
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Music.
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All right. Thank you, Grace, for that moment of news.
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And now it is time for our guest, Alan Elrod.
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Alan Elrod is the president and CEO of the Pulaski Institution,
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a new think tank dedicated to
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the connection between global politics and economics and heartland areas.
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He lives outside Little Rock, Arkansas.
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Ladies and gentlemen, it's my distinct honor and privilege to have as a guest
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on this podcast, Alan Elrod.
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Music.
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All right. Alan Elrod, Professor Alan Elrod. How are you doing? So you're doing good?
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Doing well. I'm doing well. How about you?
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I'm doing good. I'm glad to have you on. I want to talk about this think tank
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that you've put together and
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just some of your thoughts about what's going on in the political world,
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especially from your vantage point, which is the great state of Arkansas.
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At one point in my life, I was designated as an Arkansas traveler.
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So I hold that in great distinction. All right.
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I love that. Yeah.
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So normally how I start the interviews, Alan, is that I throw a couple of icebreakers out there.
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So the first icebreaker is a quote. And the quote is, never has our future been more unpredictable.
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Never have we depended so much on political forces that cannot be trusted to
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follow the rules of common sense and self-interest.
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Forces that look like sheer insanity if judged by the standards of other centuries.
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What does that quote mean to you?
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Well, I mean, you know, that's Hannah Arendt. And I used this recently in a piece I wrote.
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And, you know, in Origins of Talentarianism, she's talking, I think,
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about obviously a very specific moment in history.
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But I think that what that quote evokes speaks a lot to our moment now,
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because a lot of things don't feel rational.
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I think, you know, people don't seem to be behaving to the kind of normal rules
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of politics, right? We just, you know, Donald Trump, even this week,
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is taking a certain degree of pain in his approval polls.
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But, you know, after everything, right, after self-sabotaging the economy,
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after these sort of really clearly authoritarian deportations,
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he's at negative four in his approval.
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You know, I remember right before Barack Obama was elected, and yeah,
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it was a recession, but George D.B. Bush was in the 20s in his approval rating.
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And so I think there's something kind of astounding about where the country
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is at mentally in its willingness to kind of go along with some of this stuff
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in the policies that are being enacted that seem to have no real actual rational
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purpose of helping the country.
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And at the same time in our our i think our unwillingness to accept what's happening
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a lot of us i think are still in denial about it we want to tell ourselves you
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know that he he won't really do tariffs then he did them we want to tell ourselves
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that he doesn't really want to invade
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canada or greenland he keeps saying he does you know we want to tell ourselves
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that he won't blow up right america's position in the world he has so i think
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you know that kind of inability to accept what's happening around us, to me,
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is also what's evoked by that. It feels like everything feels crazy.
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And I think that that's true. But I also think that that's sort of the place
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we have to start from now, that a lot of the old rules are gone.
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Yeah. All right, so give me a number between one person,
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And 20? Well, let's say 13. All right, 13.
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Do you think there is such a thing as unbiased news or media and why?
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Yeah, I do. Now, I think that always has to, you know, if what we mean is do
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you think that human beings can do anything without some of their own, I guess, you know,
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decision making and whatever guides that playing a role, then no.
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But do I think, you know, news that is reliable and objective and rigorously
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checked and, you know, presented in a way that's meant to inform can be made?
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Yeah, I think, of course.
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And there are places that still do a really good job of this.
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You know, I mean, the AP is a wonderful news outlet.
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You can tune into PBS NewsHour every night and want really great reporting.
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Cable news, I think, often is where we get into the problem with this.
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But the issue is that most cable news is actually editorialism.
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It's opinion journalism in primetime.
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And opinion journalism has a place in the ecosystem of journalism.
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It's just that I think if people assume that opinion journalism is the only
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journalism that's out there,
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you're going to end up with this idea that there's no such thing as news that's
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trying to be sort of rigorous and objective about its reporting. And there is.
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So what motivated or inspired you to get involved in politics well you know i had the,
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for i guess fortune misfortune being raised by a political scientist for a father
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i've always been interested it's always fascinated me politics has always been
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something that i enjoyed like learning about the history of politics i care
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about certain you know issues i think that's how a lot of people tend to get involved.
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They're passionate about an issue here or there.
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You know, I think it helped that when I came of age, right, to vote,
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18, my first election was Obama's election. And that was a pretty great election.
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You know, Barack Obama and John McCain are kind of two wonderful paragons of America.
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They, you know, we had a great, you know, Sarah Palin, I don't have as many
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charming things to say about, but, you know, we had a great election where we
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elected the first black president and he ran against a war hero.
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It was kind of the best America had to offer, right?
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And so if that's your coming of age into elections and politics,
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you kind of feel pretty good about the country.
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So when I was younger, there was a lot, I think, to be excited about in a sense
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that we're all trying to make the country better in different ways.
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And, you know, those feelings are complicated now.
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But certainly when I was younger, the things that drew me into politics were
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both personal interests, and I really think, you know, it was kind of a fun
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time to be interested in politics.
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Yeah. Yeah. I think that, you know, a lot of people don't put it in that perspective.
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You know, here was an African-American running for president of the United States
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based on the history of what African-Americans gone through running against a legitimate war hero,
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which, you know, in other times, the military hero usually is the victor.
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And so, like you said, when you put it in that perspective, yeah,
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that's probably really the last great election we have had, you know, as far as choices.
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And it means something for me because I was on the ballot in Mississippi in
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that 08 election. I was running for the U.S. Senate.
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So, yeah, that's just kind of a cool reflection on that.
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What is the Pulaski Institution and why did you feel the need to create it?
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So we're a new nonprofit. You could call us Think Tank. I do.
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And what we are is an organization that's dedicated to really looking at heartland
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areas in the context of global politics and particularly with this notion of
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place-based democracy.
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And the idea is that we're seeing, not just in the United States,
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a retreat in a lot of wealthy democracies from the commitments to liberalism, pluralism.
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You know, certain economic freedoms that have guided these countries over the
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last, you know, especially 80 years to places of remarkable freedom and prosperity.
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And that it's important to look at why that's happening, but also to actually
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try to bolster the sort of democratic values and culture that's being developed in these places.
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It's not just in the United States. It's not just in upstate New York or Maine
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or Arkansas here, but also in places like the north of England,
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where there was a significant Brexit vote, Right.
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Or the parts of France, right, in post-industrial France and southern France,
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where, you know, the politics of Marine Le Pen are quite popular.
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And to me, there's a sense that if we don't start really having conversations
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about these places and also understand that they exist, they still do exist
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in a globalized context,
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then we are setting ourselves up to just keep getting buffeted every couple
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of years by another wave, right, of sort of populist angst in different countries, right?
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You know, the AFD is still surging in Germany.
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You know, France is going to have an election in 2027. And right now it's not
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obvious who's going to run that's going to be able to be more popular than the national rally.
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So I think there's a lot of concern still, even outside the U.S.,
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for where these forces are going.
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Is there a true natural connection between global politics and the heartland?
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Absolutely. You can't escape it. It's all coming here, right?
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One is the fact that the things that a lot of these people are upset about are
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globalized processes, or at least they perceive them in the sense of like,
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well, you know, we're being dislocated or we're being undercut,
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right, by big cosmopolitan cities, you know.
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But also, you know, the world is globalized.
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So the ideas travel internationally, right?
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You know, we had a lot of conversations in the past couple of years about great replacement theory.
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Well, great replacement theory is a French idea. Originally,
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these ideas are traveling.
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You know, we see, you know, the Ottawa rally where a lot of the Canadians who
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participated in that came from sort of prairie provinces, right,
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where they sort of took over downtown Ottawa.
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You know, there's a lot of things about that that were evocative of January
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6th and frankly, a lot of online networks that are overlapping with certain
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American far right influencers.
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So one is to understand, I think, that there's a reaction against certain aspects
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of globalization, but also understand that globalization itself is actually
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shaping and feeding some of the forces that are being unleashed in these places.
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Yeah. So you are based in Arkansas, the home of Sarah Huckabee Sanders and Tom
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Cotton, the poster children and Johnny Cash.
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Well, that's true. That's true, too. As a matter of fact, there is a little
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restaurant right behind the state capital, Little Rock, that Bill Clinton used
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to go to. And I think Hunter Thompson.
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So I got to eat there. So that was pretty cool.
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But Sanders and Cotton are considered like the poster children for violence
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and cruelty in American politics.
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Why do you think that that kind of politics or those kind of individuals are
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appealing in the political atmosphere here?
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So I think I should say that obviously I don't think that not everyone who votes
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for a Republican candidate or someone like Sarah Hickory Sanders or Todd Cotton
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is doing so because they're just thrilled by the sort of violent elements or
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the more authoritarian elements of their politics, right?
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The South has a long history of being a kind of one-party region that shifted
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from Democratic to Republican, right, largely on the back of the changes in the civil rights era.
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But it means there's a lot of people who have, frankly, just a sort of reflexive loyalty.
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But I've made this argument before I did a piece of the bulwark for it,
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which is that I just don't think that the South ever fully took to liberal democratic
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culture in the way the left of the country did.
00:18:30.883 --> 00:18:35.423
That there's some excellent histories on this, probably the best one being Heather
00:18:35.423 --> 00:18:37.583
Cox Richardson's How the South Won the Civil War,
00:18:37.843 --> 00:18:42.103
that really argue that it's not just the failure of Reconstruction,
00:18:42.123 --> 00:18:46.103
it's the way that these ideas are cemented after the failure of Reconstruction.
00:18:46.103 --> 00:18:51.483
You know, the South goes right back into being essentially a racial hierarchy
00:18:51.483 --> 00:18:53.663
system. But not just that.
00:18:53.943 --> 00:18:57.523
They invent new ways to, now that they have to deal with the fact that there
00:18:57.523 --> 00:19:01.723
are technically free black citizens living in the region, they invent new ways
00:19:01.723 --> 00:19:04.703
to impose, right, that system electorally.
00:19:04.703 --> 00:19:10.763
And they managed to package those ideas in ways that can be sold to the public, right?
00:19:11.083 --> 00:19:15.383
Limited, you know, limited government and kind of these ideas about Washington
00:19:15.383 --> 00:19:18.263
corruption and a certain paranoid attitude as well.
00:19:19.043 --> 00:19:23.803
And the reality is that I think that, you know, that culture has never been
00:19:23.803 --> 00:19:25.503
fully uprooted. We never really
00:19:25.503 --> 00:19:31.743
did the kind of thoroughgoing dealing with what this meant in the South.
00:19:32.043 --> 00:19:35.243
And civil rights came essentially almost a century later.
00:19:36.248 --> 00:19:39.568
And even then, I think there has been a tendency to sort of,
00:19:39.688 --> 00:19:42.128
you know, dust our hands off, pat ourselves on the back and say,
00:19:42.328 --> 00:19:43.648
we accomplished that, right?
00:19:43.808 --> 00:19:46.848
And, you know, probably the culmination of that attitude comes,
00:19:46.968 --> 00:19:48.468
right, with the Shelby v.
00:19:48.548 --> 00:19:51.108
Holder decision, right, and the Supreme Court saying, well, actually,
00:19:51.408 --> 00:19:55.588
it's no longer essential that the federal government sort of rigorously enforce
00:19:55.588 --> 00:20:01.028
these sort of parts of the Voting Rights Act because, you know, mission accomplished.
00:20:01.528 --> 00:20:06.308
And I would say, no, mission not accomplished, not just in sort of actual sort
00:20:06.308 --> 00:20:10.648
of measurable data points, but in the culture, which is a little harder to measure,
00:20:10.868 --> 00:20:15.028
but I think is still very much one where people do just kind of accept a certain
00:20:15.028 --> 00:20:19.948
degree of illiberalism in their politics here, because it's always been there.
00:20:21.368 --> 00:20:25.368
Yeah yeah i i agree with that you know a lot of people.
00:20:27.028 --> 00:20:31.128
You know that don't really understand the south i've been now in the south,
00:20:32.248 --> 00:20:40.888
god 42 years of my life and you know people are very nice people are very very
00:20:40.888 --> 00:20:46.328
hospitable they're very cordial you can sit down and have a beer and eat barbecue
00:20:46.328 --> 00:20:51.308
and play football watch football You can do a whole lot of things.
00:20:51.528 --> 00:20:57.408
But when it comes to the politics, though, it's almost like a switch clicks in.
00:20:57.728 --> 00:21:04.308
And it's just like anything that's related to change, they're allergic to it. Right.
00:21:04.608 --> 00:21:09.548
It's just like, you know, every human being loves sugar, but we're all addicted
00:21:09.548 --> 00:21:10.948
to it. So that's why we get fat.
00:21:13.268 --> 00:21:16.408
It's the same way it would change to me in the South it's like,
00:21:17.248 --> 00:21:22.728
they just it's like well you know that's just not that's always was the common
00:21:22.728 --> 00:21:25.588
line that's just not how we do things around here,
00:21:26.148 --> 00:21:32.228
it's like and how's that working out for you that usually just frustrate me
00:21:32.228 --> 00:21:35.988
to death in Mississippi because Mississippi is one of the poorest states in
00:21:35.988 --> 00:21:38.908
the nation and anytime we used to try to push for things,
00:21:40.188 --> 00:21:44.668
to try to make life better or at least go in a different direction than what we've been doing,
00:21:45.608 --> 00:21:48.768
well, you know, I don't know if our folks are ready for that.
00:21:49.948 --> 00:21:53.608
And so how do you get around it?
00:21:55.589 --> 00:21:58.729
Well, you know, I think we would probably both agree that our frustrations with
00:21:58.729 --> 00:22:02.789
the South coexist with our love for the South. I do love it.
00:22:03.649 --> 00:22:06.389
And that has to be there, right? You really aren't going to be able to change
00:22:06.389 --> 00:22:10.029
this place, this region, without doing it from here, you know?
00:22:10.669 --> 00:22:14.029
And that's kind of the logic that Pulaski has in general, is that the work has
00:22:14.029 --> 00:22:15.329
to be done from different places.
00:22:15.789 --> 00:22:21.109
You got to try to find people who are willing to talk and think and advocate
00:22:21.109 --> 00:22:25.829
with at least having at least one foot planted in the place they're trying to talk about.
00:22:26.509 --> 00:22:32.309
I think that's really important because, you know, people need to see that you're invested in it.
00:22:32.429 --> 00:22:37.249
People need to see that this is a place you're not just talking about to them from a distance.
00:22:37.689 --> 00:22:44.409
So, you know, that's to me the starting point is you cannot possibly effect
00:22:44.409 --> 00:22:52.189
chain in a place in a really rich and meaningful way that lasts without being
00:22:52.189 --> 00:22:54.949
invested in it. And so I think that's the other side of it.
00:22:55.009 --> 00:22:57.869
A lot of people reacted to that piece I wrote with a kind of like,
00:22:57.969 --> 00:22:59.489
well, the South is terrible. I hate the South.
00:22:59.649 --> 00:23:02.289
And I was like, I don't hate the South. I love the South.
00:23:03.009 --> 00:23:07.129
I just want so much more for it. Yeah.
00:23:08.469 --> 00:23:12.669
Well, there's an old politician in Mississippi. He's going on to the other side
00:23:12.669 --> 00:23:15.889
now. But he used to say, in order to lead the people, you got to love the people.
00:23:16.329 --> 00:23:20.009
Yeah. So I agree with you. In order to do what you need to do,
00:23:20.149 --> 00:23:23.789
you've got to have a love for the place that you're in, and then you've got
00:23:23.789 --> 00:23:28.309
to love the people that are there and just do the best you can.
00:23:29.289 --> 00:23:36.529
Why do you think American Christianity has moved from right-wing activism to outright idolatry?
00:23:37.617 --> 00:23:41.597
Well, I think there's a lot of different forces at play there.
00:23:42.737 --> 00:23:47.217
When you look at what a lot of the scholars of sort of Christian nationalism
00:23:47.217 --> 00:23:51.277
will talk about, I think one thing that's important is there's different strains, right?
00:23:51.997 --> 00:23:55.677
So, you know, the people who've moved into extremism out of,
00:23:55.757 --> 00:23:59.857
say, the Catholic right are not talking in exactly the same way as the people
00:23:59.857 --> 00:24:03.197
who come from a more charismatic evangelical background.
00:24:04.617 --> 00:24:10.517
But what I do think is true is, if we're going to try to talk about this specific
00:24:10.517 --> 00:24:14.357
moment we're in, a lot of Christians decided that Donald Trump was an imperfect
00:24:14.357 --> 00:24:17.637
vessel for accomplishing a lot of things that they thought were important to accomplish.
00:24:18.457 --> 00:24:25.637
And the problem with that, I think, is that is a bet in which they had to keep sort of anteing up.
00:24:25.797 --> 00:24:28.837
They had to keep going deeper and deeper in, right?
00:24:29.477 --> 00:24:36.237
I think in 2016, the tone to a lot of it felt more transactional, right?
00:24:36.417 --> 00:24:39.757
Donald Trump, maybe he's not perfect, but he's going to do some things.
00:24:39.917 --> 00:24:42.857
And Christians have to accept that we live in a world, right,
00:24:42.917 --> 00:24:48.097
of flesh and blood. And therefore, if you want to get certain things done for
00:24:48.097 --> 00:24:51.517
the purpose of God, that you don't always get to pick who you work with, right? Right.
00:24:52.517 --> 00:24:58.477
That I think what happened with that is that they had to get they got deeper and deeper in.
00:24:58.597 --> 00:25:03.457
And as you start to justify that, right, I think that the arguments in the kind
00:25:03.457 --> 00:25:08.997
of ways in which that was sustained, right, that relationship was sustained,
00:25:09.557 --> 00:25:16.257
it started to push more towards if all of this is worth it, then there must
00:25:16.257 --> 00:25:18.457
be something really special here. Right.
00:25:18.797 --> 00:25:22.477
And so Trump becomes not just a kind of, well, we can use him to get done what
00:25:22.477 --> 00:25:25.337
we've done. He becomes the special chosen man of God.
00:25:26.397 --> 00:25:30.317
You know, I don't think that's the whole story. And obviously there are nuances,
00:25:30.737 --> 00:25:35.597
like I said, depending on the sort of theological milieu you come out of within Christianity.
00:25:36.277 --> 00:25:41.017
But I think that that kind of paints the broad picture for what's happened in the last decade.
00:25:42.055 --> 00:25:46.955
Yeah, it's kind of a, staying with the religious thing, it's kind of like,
00:25:47.175 --> 00:25:54.135
instead of getting the Apostle Paul, you're settling for Saul of Tarsus,
00:25:54.555 --> 00:25:56.655
right? Oh, yeah. It's like. No conversion.
00:25:57.335 --> 00:26:02.275
That's right. No Damascus Road experience. It's just, we like Saul the way he is.
00:26:02.375 --> 00:26:08.135
We just want him to go ahead and do his thing, you know, and not elevate himself.
00:26:08.995 --> 00:26:19.075
And I just wonder why people really, really feel that way, why they feel that
00:26:19.075 --> 00:26:21.615
they have to settle for that.
00:26:21.815 --> 00:26:28.235
I guess maybe in their mindset, somebody who actually was pure probably wouldn't
00:26:28.235 --> 00:26:29.995
get close enough to be president.
00:26:29.995 --> 00:26:35.055
I don't know. I mean, I think it's astonishing how under siege American Christians
00:26:35.055 --> 00:26:39.255
feel despite living in a pretty, I think, actually Christian-friendly country.
00:26:39.655 --> 00:26:45.035
You know, when you have convinced yourself that you are this persecuted minority,
00:26:45.375 --> 00:26:49.655
I think the kind of things you start to think you're willing to accept to assert
00:26:49.655 --> 00:26:52.755
your own power get pretty dark, right?
00:26:52.755 --> 00:26:55.175
I do think a lot of you'll hear a lot of the justifications are,
00:26:55.335 --> 00:26:59.395
well, it's like war has already been declared on us.
00:26:59.535 --> 00:27:04.895
Therefore, we should not be afraid to deploy, you know, whatever weapons are in our arsenal.
00:27:05.075 --> 00:27:11.675
And Donald Trump happens to be, you know, right now the big one in the repertoire. Yeah.
00:27:12.535 --> 00:27:16.975
What will it take for liberalism to be dynamic and inclusive?
00:27:18.802 --> 00:27:21.162
You know, one of the things I'm really convinced of right now is that we live
00:27:21.162 --> 00:27:23.162
in a moment where we need lots of new ideas.
00:27:23.542 --> 00:27:27.762
And so I think as long as what you need to do is say the guiding principles
00:27:27.762 --> 00:27:34.042
for how we think about our problems should be this mixture of respect for individual
00:27:34.042 --> 00:27:36.362
dignity, pluralism, which means, you know,
00:27:36.822 --> 00:27:40.362
lots of different people, right, being able to co-exist, lots of different groups
00:27:40.362 --> 00:27:44.262
being able to co-exist and participate, you know, mutual toleration.
00:27:44.262 --> 00:27:49.542
And, yeah, individual freedom, but then say, okay, those are the guiding principles.
00:27:51.102 --> 00:27:53.982
But a lot of the things we haven't done, a lot of things we've been doing,
00:27:54.082 --> 00:27:58.682
maybe they're not working, maybe we need new ideas, and as long as we're trying to come up with,
00:27:59.302 --> 00:28:04.202
responses to the moment, original responses, that still say we're going to adhere
00:28:04.202 --> 00:28:06.702
to these sort of guiding ideals,
00:28:07.262 --> 00:28:10.302
then I think that's opening the door for something more dynamic, right?
00:28:10.762 --> 00:28:14.462
One of the things that I think this goes back to a kind of madness conversation,
00:28:14.702 --> 00:28:18.342
which is people, I think, really have to accept that we're moving forward past
00:28:18.342 --> 00:28:21.142
some, the old status quo is not coming back.
00:28:21.842 --> 00:28:27.102
We have a chance to decide what we want to happen next. And I think that can
00:28:27.102 --> 00:28:31.462
be an invigorating thing that we could say, what do we want to do in the wake of this?
00:28:31.602 --> 00:28:34.882
Donald Trump has just laid siege to so many aspects of our government and how
00:28:34.882 --> 00:28:35.942
things are working. Okay.
00:28:36.562 --> 00:28:39.882
Is the goal just going to be to go in and sort of, you know glue
00:28:39.882 --> 00:28:42.962
the pieces back together and have a a
00:28:42.962 --> 00:28:46.542
slightly more you know broken looking
00:28:46.542 --> 00:28:51.022
but you know kind of fixed system or is the goal going to be to go in and say
00:28:51.022 --> 00:28:56.422
okay well let's be as ambitious about building something new and interesting
00:28:56.422 --> 00:29:01.202
and dynamic as these people were about trying to destroy it right i do think
00:29:01.202 --> 00:29:05.942
that needs to be there that energy for for for creating the future has to be there,
00:29:06.382 --> 00:29:09.862
being really reactive and responsive to problems, saying we're going to actually
00:29:09.862 --> 00:29:13.162
have big ideas about how we're going to fix the energy crisis,
00:29:13.402 --> 00:29:15.542
about how we're going to fix the climate crisis, about how we're going to fix
00:29:15.542 --> 00:29:18.022
some of these new challenges that are emerging.
00:29:18.742 --> 00:29:21.122
And making sure that liberalism is the guidepost.
00:29:22.115 --> 00:29:27.895
Yeah, it's like, I guess another analogy would be, it's like,
00:29:28.135 --> 00:29:32.355
we know that the president has set everything on fire.
00:29:32.535 --> 00:29:38.855
So the question is, do we put the fire out and salvage what's left?
00:29:39.095 --> 00:29:44.275
Or do we just go ahead and let it burn and then rebuild something totally new?
00:29:44.675 --> 00:29:49.935
Like you said, with more of a liberal or progressive bend to it.
00:29:51.055 --> 00:29:54.335
That's gonna be tough yeah i'm not an accelerationist
00:29:54.335 --> 00:29:57.255
i don't think that we should get rid of the constitution or anything like
00:29:57.255 --> 00:30:02.715
that but there's things where you can look at it and say look okay he's
00:30:02.715 --> 00:30:06.175
really ransacked a lot of you know agencies when we
00:30:06.175 --> 00:30:12.355
come back in if you know if democrats win in 2028 or something okay how are
00:30:12.355 --> 00:30:15.195
we going to think about putting the government back together is it going to
00:30:15.195 --> 00:30:19.815
just be okay everything goes back we're just going institute sort of pre-2025
00:30:19.815 --> 00:30:23.235
funding or are we going to say we need to think really critically,
00:30:23.975 --> 00:30:27.675
about how we want to structure these things and
00:30:27.675 --> 00:30:31.535
approach you know the future moving forward i also think we probably have to
00:30:31.535 --> 00:30:38.235
have a serious conversation about how to massively reform ice right it's clear
00:30:38.235 --> 00:30:43.655
to me that that agency is is willing to do some frankly illegal and constitutional
00:30:43.655 --> 00:30:46.675
things at the president's orders. And that's a cultural problem.
00:30:47.415 --> 00:30:52.155
And it has to be fixed. I don't know that that means, you know,
00:30:52.955 --> 00:30:57.155
destroying, like eliminating ICE as an agency, but it certainly means reforming
00:30:57.155 --> 00:31:00.215
it and probably getting rid of a lot of personnel, because that's a huge problem.
00:31:00.455 --> 00:31:06.295
You cannot have, I think, you know, you cannot be afraid to institute reforms,
00:31:06.875 --> 00:31:08.635
especially after people have seen what they've seen.
00:31:08.775 --> 00:31:13.735
You know, they can't unsee, you know, federal agents doing this stuff.
00:31:14.375 --> 00:31:17.215
Yeah. And then even a question of...
00:31:19.217 --> 00:31:21.957
Like maybe consolidating stuff, right?
00:31:22.417 --> 00:31:27.737
Because, you know, one of the things we had to deal with a lot in being in the
00:31:27.737 --> 00:31:34.177
state legislature in Mississippi was because we had limited income,
00:31:34.457 --> 00:31:35.957
limited revenue, tax revenue.
00:31:37.397 --> 00:31:41.417
And, you know, and people were out there struggling.
00:31:41.417 --> 00:31:47.637
The question became, do we really need to be as big as we used to be,
00:31:48.017 --> 00:31:53.417
right? But, you know, we had a county, it literally had 40,000 people in it
00:31:53.417 --> 00:31:55.057
and we had six school districts.
00:31:55.457 --> 00:32:02.577
So the question was, do we really need to have six school districts in a county
00:32:02.577 --> 00:32:03.957
that only has 40,000 people?
00:32:04.877 --> 00:32:10.957
You know, and what does that look like? We were electing a superintendent of
00:32:10.957 --> 00:32:14.577
education for a county that literally did not have a school in the county.
00:32:16.137 --> 00:32:21.817
And they had consolidated with another county for their kids to go to school.
00:32:21.977 --> 00:32:25.737
And so we were like, yeah, we probably need to get rid of that position.
00:32:26.237 --> 00:32:35.377
So I think, you know, the concern that a lot of us have that have been involved in politics and,
00:32:35.957 --> 00:32:42.837
like you say, respect the Constitution, is that we're not against reform or
00:32:42.837 --> 00:32:50.117
upgrades or, you know, doing what needs some tinkering, but we're not into slashing and burning.
00:32:50.457 --> 00:32:55.977
That's the problem. It's like, you just can't come in and just destroy everything
00:32:55.977 --> 00:33:01.457
and then have somebody who has no concept of government, let alone American government.
00:33:02.608 --> 00:33:08.088
Being the lead point person. I think that's where a lot of people that are rational
00:33:08.088 --> 00:33:11.248
about the conversation really have some heartburn.
00:33:11.408 --> 00:33:19.508
And I don't know, but a lot of people that line up on that side are frustrated
00:33:19.508 --> 00:33:21.888
enough where they decide to let that go.
00:33:22.068 --> 00:33:26.008
You know, it's like, well, he said he was going to shake some things up.
00:33:26.108 --> 00:33:31.548
I think that goes back to, you know, when we make the equation that Christians
00:33:31.548 --> 00:33:34.848
think that Donald Trump is a change agent for their good,
00:33:34.848 --> 00:33:40.028
they envision him as a Jesus showing up and flipping the tables at the temple
00:33:40.028 --> 00:33:44.728
as opposed to being more Herod. You know what I'm saying?
00:33:45.128 --> 00:33:49.468
I mean, that's just me. But what do you think about that take?
00:33:49.688 --> 00:33:53.148
I think it's the human, you know, this is where we get into the fact that there's
00:33:53.148 --> 00:33:56.688
a lot of things about human nature that make democracy really hard. We're not patient.
00:33:56.848 --> 00:34:02.648
We want fixes. And there's always been, since democracy has been a thing we've
00:34:02.648 --> 00:34:04.768
been trying to do as societies,
00:34:05.148 --> 00:34:13.288
there's always been the temptation to indulge people who are saying, I can fix it.
00:34:13.388 --> 00:34:19.608
I can fix it right now if you let me do it in these clearly tyrannical ways. Right.
00:34:20.188 --> 00:34:25.168
And human beings are often tempted to turn power over like that.
00:34:25.528 --> 00:34:29.648
Right. So democracy is when people say democracy is fragile.
00:34:29.788 --> 00:34:34.768
One of the things we mean is it's fragile because human beings, by their nature,
00:34:35.148 --> 00:34:39.488
do not always actually want to do things the way democracies do things,
00:34:39.528 --> 00:34:45.588
which is slow and deliberative and requires consensus and isn't always just
00:34:45.588 --> 00:34:48.908
going to, you know, smash things up a bit immediately.
00:34:49.068 --> 00:34:52.388
Now, I think the end result of that is obviously better, because that's how
00:34:52.388 --> 00:34:55.968
you protect freedoms and rights and dignity. But.
00:34:56.973 --> 00:34:59.893
That tension, I think, is always going to be there. And, you know,
00:35:00.073 --> 00:35:02.373
it comes to the surface more in different times.
00:35:02.573 --> 00:35:10.093
But that human desire to have the quick fix, to push past the sort of way democracy
00:35:10.093 --> 00:35:13.453
tries to tell us to slow down, I think that's always going to be there.
00:35:15.693 --> 00:35:18.753
So people were talking about you know you know
00:35:18.753 --> 00:35:21.833
i hear a lot of democrats saying well you
00:35:21.833 --> 00:35:26.913
know the way things are going man we we we ought to be able to flip the house
00:35:26.913 --> 00:35:32.073
and flip the senate in 2026 and you know and Donald trump will basically be
00:35:32.073 --> 00:35:37.773
a lame duck and all this stuff what is your take on what American politics will
00:35:37.773 --> 00:35:40.753
look like in 2026 because there's some people where it's like going,
00:35:41.033 --> 00:35:44.173
I don't even know if we're going to have an election in 2026 and y'all busy
00:35:44.173 --> 00:35:45.993
talking about flipping stuff, you know?
00:35:46.253 --> 00:35:50.493
What do you think American politics is going to look like a year from now?
00:35:50.973 --> 00:35:57.113
So I think we should be clear that, you know, there's people who are baselessly
00:35:57.113 --> 00:35:59.253
saying we won't have an election in 2026.
00:35:59.513 --> 00:36:04.373
There are some very serious people who are saying, hey, this is on my radar
00:36:04.373 --> 00:36:08.133
and I have some concerns about what the Trump administration might try to do.
00:36:08.793 --> 00:36:12.613
I think it's worth taking the serious people seriously when they say things like that.
00:36:12.773 --> 00:36:17.133
At the same time, we're not there yet, so there's not a lot we can do. It's speculative.
00:36:18.993 --> 00:36:25.753
What I would, I think, say in terms of how the actual elections might play out
00:36:25.753 --> 00:36:29.713
is it looks right now like Democrats are probably going to have a good midterm.
00:36:30.093 --> 00:36:33.773
I think that, you know, they had a good midterm in 2018.
00:36:34.193 --> 00:36:37.013
A lot of things are maybe even worse now. Yeah.
00:36:37.519 --> 00:36:41.839
Then in 2017, 2018, leading up to those midterms. There's lots of reasons I think Democrats,
00:36:42.119 --> 00:36:45.019
you know, the early data that we've seen out of some of the special elections
00:36:45.019 --> 00:36:48.319
in Wisconsin and even the Florida races where Republicans won,
00:36:48.599 --> 00:36:52.599
but won by much less in heavily Republican districts than they normally would,
00:36:52.799 --> 00:36:56.039
all suggest things shifting towards Democrats.
00:36:56.679 --> 00:37:01.299
What I would say to that is, I'm still worried about living in a country where
00:37:01.299 --> 00:37:06.379
every few years we're willing to indulge, people like Donald Trump.
00:37:06.579 --> 00:37:12.279
Donald Trump was president and then COVID happened and a million Americans died
00:37:12.279 --> 00:37:15.839
in part because Donald Trump actively mismanaged that crisis.
00:37:16.379 --> 00:37:21.919
And then after he was voted out of office, he staged a coup to try to stay in
00:37:21.919 --> 00:37:26.039
office where his supporters said they wanted to kill his vice president.
00:37:26.659 --> 00:37:29.899
And then four years later, because, you know.
00:37:30.679 --> 00:37:33.379
Joe Biden was pretty old and we replaced him last minute with
00:37:33.379 --> 00:37:36.539
Kamala Harris and prices were higher than
00:37:36.539 --> 00:37:39.399
some people would like we returned Donald trump to office
00:37:39.399 --> 00:37:44.679
and i think that if that's the cycle we're in that's not very encouraging so
00:37:44.679 --> 00:37:51.639
i'm not i'm optimistic about democrats chances in 2026 and even maybe in 2028
00:37:51.639 --> 00:37:56.819
but i am concerned about where the country is at that we are,
00:37:57.499 --> 00:38:02.419
going to be in a situation where if if the democrats aren't essentially perfect
00:38:02.419 --> 00:38:08.019
we just might vote back in you know and after 2028 it might not be right trump
00:38:08.019 --> 00:38:12.199
but you know a jd Vance or someone else who is just completely on board with
00:38:12.199 --> 00:38:15.399
what we've seen to be a deeply authoritarian,
00:38:16.319 --> 00:38:21.699
reckless chaotic form of of government and that does concern me because i i
00:38:21.699 --> 00:38:28.819
don't think democrats winning in 2026 or even 2028 necessarily expunges, right,
00:38:28.959 --> 00:38:31.859
that particular problem from our democracy.
00:38:32.694 --> 00:38:37.074
Yeah. Yeah. It's, it's, or exercise even.
00:38:38.174 --> 00:38:43.954
It's, uh, it's going to be a Herculean task, but you have decided to jump into
00:38:43.954 --> 00:38:46.134
fray with the Pulaski institution.
00:38:46.614 --> 00:38:51.134
So tell people how people, you know, how people can reach out to you,
00:38:51.314 --> 00:38:53.674
how they can get involved with the Pulaski institution.
00:38:54.434 --> 00:38:59.834
Just, just, just, just go ahead and plug away and on how people can get engaged.
00:38:59.834 --> 00:39:03.334
We are found at PulaskiInstitution.org.
00:39:03.514 --> 00:39:09.254
You can also find, we do a podcast that I put out every so often with experts and guests.
00:39:09.514 --> 00:39:13.354
It's not weekly, but I try whenever I can get good people, we do an episode
00:39:13.354 --> 00:39:15.894
or two in a couple weeks around when we put those out.
00:39:16.254 --> 00:39:20.214
That is called The Periphery from the Pulaski Institution, and it is available
00:39:20.214 --> 00:39:25.374
across all platforms. You can also find, you know, the writing I do at Arc Digital
00:39:25.374 --> 00:39:29.134
or at Liberal Currents or other places like the Bulwark.
00:39:29.314 --> 00:39:33.334
And, you know, that usually is stuff that's oriented towards the kind of things
00:39:33.334 --> 00:39:34.534
we're thinking about at Pulaski.
00:39:34.534 --> 00:39:39.514
If you're in the Oklahoma City area, we are going to be doing an event in Oklahoma
00:39:39.514 --> 00:39:45.274
City on April 24th at the Tower Theater with one of our fellows, Dr.
00:39:45.354 --> 00:39:49.014
Allison Schertl, who's a professor at OU and some other guests.
00:39:49.314 --> 00:39:51.994
And so we're going to be talking a little bit about democracy and Christian
00:39:51.994 --> 00:39:56.914
nationalism and extremism, particularly as it relates to Oklahoma.
00:39:57.294 --> 00:40:00.494
I think that's going to be fun. And so, yeah, we try it. We're going to be trying
00:40:00.494 --> 00:40:04.354
to bring more events to different places to have that kind of local conversation
00:40:04.354 --> 00:40:05.154
about what's happening.
00:40:05.634 --> 00:40:09.514
And that stuff will usually be posted there. Or you can follow me on Blue Sky,
00:40:09.654 --> 00:40:13.314
where I talk about that stuff all the time at A.S. Elrod.
00:40:13.674 --> 00:40:18.014
So that's my spiel for for how you can get in touch with us.
00:40:18.114 --> 00:40:19.314
And, you know, I hope people will.
00:40:19.914 --> 00:40:23.654
Well, Alan Elrod, it's been an honor to talk to you, brother.
00:40:24.834 --> 00:40:30.314
I've read some of your stuff on Liberal Current. And when we connected on LinkedIn,
00:40:30.314 --> 00:40:32.994
I was like, okay, yeah, this is going to be cool.
00:40:32.994 --> 00:40:37.994
So, you know, because, you know, I'm I'm of an age now where it's like,
00:40:38.194 --> 00:40:43.334
you know, the podcast might be the extent of my political activity other than voting. Right.
00:40:43.554 --> 00:40:49.794
And so we need younger folks that are very thoughtful, very deliberative to
00:40:49.794 --> 00:40:58.074
kind of pass the torch and carry it in order to ensure that we still have a thriving democracy.
00:40:58.074 --> 00:41:00.574
And I view you as one of those people.
00:41:01.194 --> 00:41:04.654
So thank you for doing what you're doing. And thank you for.
00:41:04.854 --> 00:41:06.134
And of course, you're a teacher.
00:41:06.534 --> 00:41:10.654
So, you know, political science. I love that part from you. But just keep doing
00:41:10.654 --> 00:41:13.054
what you're doing. And thank you again for coming on the podcast.
00:41:13.314 --> 00:41:15.294
I appreciate it. Thanks so much for having me.
00:41:15.914 --> 00:41:17.834
All right, guys, we're going to catch you all on the other side.
00:41:18.800 --> 00:41:37.040
Music.
00:41:37.123 --> 00:41:43.183
All right. And we are back. And so now it's time for my next two guests,
00:41:44.023 --> 00:41:47.203
Zaha Hassan and Lara Friedman.
00:41:47.663 --> 00:41:53.003
Zaha Hassan is a human rights lawyer and a fellow at the Carnegie Endowment
00:41:53.003 --> 00:41:54.023
for International Peace.
00:41:54.343 --> 00:42:00.623
Her research focus is on Palestine-Israel peace, transnational repression and
00:42:00.623 --> 00:42:04.023
shrinking civic space for Palestine-Israel discourse.
00:42:04.023 --> 00:42:08.523
The use of international legal mechanisms by political movements,
00:42:08.823 --> 00:42:10.903
and U.S. foreign policy in the region.
00:42:11.423 --> 00:42:16.583
Previously, she was the coordinator and senior legal advisor to the Palestinian
00:42:16.583 --> 00:42:20.583
negotiating team during Palestine's bid for U.N.
00:42:20.643 --> 00:42:26.183
Membership, and was a member of the Palestinian delegation to Quartet-sponsored
00:42:26.183 --> 00:42:30.603
exploratory talks between 2011 and 2012.
00:42:30.603 --> 00:42:35.483
Her most recent publication is a co-edited book, Suppressing Dissent,
00:42:35.983 --> 00:42:41.783
Shrinking Civic Space, Transnational Repression, and Palestine-Israel.
00:42:42.263 --> 00:42:47.283
Lara Friedman is the president of the Foundation for Middle East Peace.
00:42:47.283 --> 00:42:52.343
She is a leading authority on the Middle East, with particular expertise on U.S.
00:42:52.503 --> 00:42:58.403
Foreign policy in the region, on Israel-Palestine, and on the way Middle East
00:42:58.403 --> 00:43:03.263
and Israeli-Palestine-related issues play out in Congress and in U.S.
00:43:03.723 --> 00:43:05.723
Domestic politics, policies, and legislation.
00:43:06.703 --> 00:43:12.123
Lara is also a preeminent subject matter expert in the area of anti-Palestinian
00:43:12.123 --> 00:43:13.783
legislation and lawfare,
00:43:14.003 --> 00:43:20.503
including the weaponization and instrumentalization of the definition of and
00:43:20.503 --> 00:43:22.303
concerns about anti-Semitism.
00:43:22.803 --> 00:43:27.003
Lara's research on lawfare and anti-Semitism related topics,
00:43:27.163 --> 00:43:31.643
which she makes available to the public, is widely cited and widely recognized
00:43:31.643 --> 00:43:34.143
as the authoritative data in the field.
00:43:34.883 --> 00:43:39.903
Lara is a former officer in the U.S. Foreign Service with diplomatic postings
00:43:39.903 --> 00:43:43.043
in Jerusalem, Washington, Tunis, and Beirut.
00:43:43.483 --> 00:43:47.743
She also served previously as the Director of Policy and Government Relations
00:43:47.743 --> 00:43:49.803
at Americans for Peace Now.
00:43:50.083 --> 00:43:56.923
In addition to her work with FMEP, Lara is a non-resident fellow at the U.S. Middle East Project.
00:43:57.443 --> 00:44:02.203
She holds a B.A. from the University of Arizona and a master's degree from Georgetown
00:44:02.203 --> 00:44:07.003
School of Foreign Service In addition to English, Lara speaks French,
00:44:07.263 --> 00:44:11.823
Arabic, Spanish, some Italian, and moles through in Hebrew.
00:44:12.123 --> 00:44:15.983
Ladies and gentlemen, it is my distinct honor and privilege to have as guests
00:44:15.983 --> 00:44:21.043
on this podcast, Zaha Hassan and Lara Friedman.
00:44:22.640 --> 00:44:32.240
Music.
00:44:32.082 --> 00:44:37.042
All right. Zaha Hassan. How you doing, ma'am? You doing good?
00:44:38.022 --> 00:44:41.862
I'm doing okay. Thanks. Yeah, I'm trying to get your first name right,
00:44:41.982 --> 00:44:46.162
but we'll just forgive me for that.
00:44:47.122 --> 00:44:51.282
So I understand, Ms. Hassan, that you brought a friend with you to the program.
00:44:52.002 --> 00:44:55.842
Go ahead and introduce the audience to her.
00:44:56.562 --> 00:45:01.222
Yes, this is my partner in crime, Lara Friedman. She's the president of the
00:45:01.222 --> 00:45:06.062
Foundation for Middle East Peace in Washington, D.C. She's also a former U.S.
00:45:06.302 --> 00:45:08.842
Diplomat that was based in Jerusalem.
00:45:09.442 --> 00:45:14.982
It's good to be with her. And she's also a contributor to a recently released
00:45:14.982 --> 00:45:19.062
book that I co-edited called Suppressing Dissent,
00:45:19.902 --> 00:45:24.562
Shrinking Civic Space, Transnational Repression, and Palestine-Israel.
00:45:25.662 --> 00:45:29.042
Well, Ms. Friedman, it's good to have you on the program. ma'am thank you
00:45:29.042 --> 00:45:31.722
so much for having me yes ma'am all right
00:45:31.722 --> 00:45:34.922
guys so normally what i do is i do like a little icebreaker
00:45:34.922 --> 00:45:41.542
thing at the beginning so the first the first one is a quote it's called well
00:45:41.542 --> 00:45:46.922
it's called the quote goes repressing speech is a net is never the end of a
00:45:46.922 --> 00:45:52.662
problem but rather the beginning of one which one of y'all want to take that first.
00:45:54.062 --> 00:45:56.182
Well, I'll start us off.
00:45:56.582 --> 00:46:01.122
I think it's also a symptom of a larger problem, right?
00:46:01.302 --> 00:46:06.062
Because when you start repressing speech, it's because there's some idea that
00:46:06.062 --> 00:46:11.602
you don't want others to know about, you don't want others to subscribe to.
00:46:11.822 --> 00:46:17.062
So how do you deal with it if you can't counter it with a stronger idea is you
00:46:17.062 --> 00:46:21.442
shut down the space for being able to express that idea.
00:46:22.801 --> 00:46:25.621
Ms. Friedman, did you? Go ahead. Sorry.
00:46:26.021 --> 00:46:32.821
Yeah, no, I agree with Zaha. I think certainly when it comes to issues related to Palestine.
00:46:33.621 --> 00:46:40.701
There have been moments across history, particularly in the 90s when it looked
00:46:40.701 --> 00:46:42.901
like there was maybe they called the peace process and all of that,
00:46:43.321 --> 00:46:45.461
when speech was much less suppressed.
00:46:45.461 --> 00:46:50.161
And it was much less suppressed because there actually was a battle of ideas
00:46:50.161 --> 00:46:54.361
And there were ways to defend against criticism if you were,
00:46:54.461 --> 00:46:56.461
you know, someone who didn't lie to your criticism of Israel.
00:46:56.721 --> 00:47:03.821
And we're in a moment here where it's been a long time coming where it's simply
00:47:03.821 --> 00:47:08.521
not possible any longer to defend what is happening on the ground.
00:47:08.521 --> 00:47:11.541
And this isn't unique to Palestine-related issues.
00:47:11.721 --> 00:47:15.421
I'm very myopically focused on this issue. But, you know,
00:47:15.621 --> 00:47:22.461
when it comes to the Palestine issue, and it dates back before the current catastrophe
00:47:22.461 --> 00:47:23.481
that we're going to talk about,
00:47:23.681 --> 00:47:28.201
for a long time now, it's simply not been possible to come up with arguments
00:47:28.201 --> 00:47:31.801
to defend what Israel is doing to Palestinians.
00:47:32.381 --> 00:47:35.201
And then what's left is to try to
00:47:35.201 --> 00:47:38.421
delegitimize discredit and suppress the
00:47:38.421 --> 00:47:41.361
people who are making the criticism so that way you don't have to contend with
00:47:41.361 --> 00:47:46.501
the facts yeah all right so which one of y'all want to pick a number between
00:47:46.501 --> 00:47:57.101
one and 20 13 okay all right do you think there is such a thing as unbiased news or media and why.
00:47:58.522 --> 00:48:02.702
That's a great question. I guess for me, the question is less whether,
00:48:03.062 --> 00:48:04.902
I mean, I don't think anything is unbiased.
00:48:05.022 --> 00:48:07.702
Everyone brings their biases to everything they say.
00:48:07.982 --> 00:48:10.962
I mean, it has to do with how they view the world. When it comes to news,
00:48:11.162 --> 00:48:15.742
I think it's less a question of whether or not there is bias in everything and
00:48:15.742 --> 00:48:23.642
more a question of whether or not that bias becomes or is used to actually obfuscate,
00:48:23.882 --> 00:48:25.242
to mislead,
00:48:25.602 --> 00:48:31.402
to effectively say, don't believe your eyes, believe what I'm telling you,
00:48:31.502 --> 00:48:33.802
don't believe the facts, believe what I'm spinning.
00:48:34.362 --> 00:48:38.742
So for me, it's less a question of the bias in the news and how that bias comes
00:48:38.742 --> 00:48:40.062
out and what role it plays.
00:48:40.782 --> 00:48:48.082
I agree totally with that. I think that the problem that we face with news is
00:48:48.082 --> 00:48:54.082
that there's a certain perspective that's given a lot of airtime,
00:48:54.282 --> 00:48:58.062
a certain perspective that, you know, the camera lens is focused on.
00:48:58.062 --> 00:49:03.362
And then there's a whole other side and a whole other history and context that
00:49:03.362 --> 00:49:05.702
is excluded from the news.
00:49:06.542 --> 00:49:13.242
And that makes for a skewed presentation of, you know, the so-called facts.
00:49:13.482 --> 00:49:19.022
And I think that's why there's been a lot of gravitation, especially by younger
00:49:19.022 --> 00:49:25.962
generation towards social media, because it's sort of this eyewitness on the ground account. and.
00:49:26.871 --> 00:49:31.951
It's filling a void that that is in the mainstream press, the mainstream TV
00:49:31.951 --> 00:49:37.271
news in particular, that doesn't focus on what's exactly happening on the ground
00:49:37.271 --> 00:49:40.091
and how it's affecting real people in real time.
00:49:40.291 --> 00:49:43.871
And so this is why there's been such an interest in such a growth in social
00:49:43.871 --> 00:49:50.131
media, precisely because certain perspectives are excluded on the mainstream. Yeah.
00:49:51.571 --> 00:49:55.471
Go ahead. Go ahead. I mean, a piece of it that I think is really,
00:49:55.671 --> 00:49:58.291
and this is clear, I think, to anyone who works on an issue,
00:49:58.431 --> 00:50:03.851
which is dealing with a disfavored or less powerful sort of political position
00:50:03.851 --> 00:50:09.491
in the bias in news is the sort of unconscious or unrecognized bias.
00:50:09.491 --> 00:50:14.411
And this is something for folks who work on anything related to Palestinians that is very clear.
00:50:14.611 --> 00:50:19.811
And it's when you see ostensibly, you know, mainstream, not biased press choose
00:50:19.811 --> 00:50:26.591
words like, you know, Palestinians claim or, you know, so it's alleged.
00:50:26.811 --> 00:50:30.711
Anytime anything, anything comes from Palestinians, it's immediately discredited
00:50:30.711 --> 00:50:35.711
with this very subtle bias in the language that's used. You know,
00:50:35.951 --> 00:50:39.251
Israel states, you know, Israel says this happened.
00:50:40.051 --> 00:50:44.011
It's actually anything Israel says is stated as fact. This happened.
00:50:44.371 --> 00:50:47.911
Anything Palestinians said is set up as a claim that is disproven,
00:50:47.911 --> 00:50:51.391
even when we have a video proving that it's accurate, right?
00:50:51.391 --> 00:50:54.891
As they're reporting on a video that shows something happening in real time,
00:50:55.091 --> 00:50:57.931
it's still framed as Palestinians claim this happened.
00:50:58.271 --> 00:51:02.791
And that sort of, there's something incredibly insidious about that sort of
00:51:02.791 --> 00:51:07.771
bias because it creeps into people's perception to just assume that you can't
00:51:07.771 --> 00:51:11.551
believe anything from one side and that you must take as fact the other.
00:51:11.551 --> 00:51:16.851
Even when, you know, in sort of in the fullness of time, it's proven that really
00:51:16.851 --> 00:51:21.251
pretty much everything that you're hearing Palestinians quote unquote claim did happen.
00:51:21.471 --> 00:51:25.431
And Israel, when it's proven that it happened, has to constantly change its story.
00:51:26.051 --> 00:51:30.951
It's this unconscious bias that creeps in and sort of tilts things,
00:51:31.591 --> 00:51:33.971
you know, tilts people's perceptions in profound ways.
00:51:34.551 --> 00:51:38.271
All right. So I'm going to put a pin on that because I want to come right back
00:51:38.271 --> 00:51:41.611
to that. You used the word perception. So I want to get back to that.
00:51:41.831 --> 00:51:46.311
I want to go back in time real quick, and we'll do it.
00:51:46.611 --> 00:51:49.731
If you want to explain your answer, cool.
00:51:50.811 --> 00:51:54.351
But a simple yes or no will do for either one of you.
00:51:55.111 --> 00:51:59.031
And this is what I call the Rashida Tlaib question, right?
00:51:59.531 --> 00:52:03.971
So should the Congresswoman have been allowed to speak at the DNC? Yes or no?
00:52:05.091 --> 00:52:08.191
Yes. Of course. Of course. Okay. I mean.
00:52:09.091 --> 00:52:13.631
It doesn't even require explanation. Right. I mean. Yeah. I just,
00:52:13.751 --> 00:52:15.511
that's why, that's why I catch the, the way.
00:52:16.771 --> 00:52:22.491
More than Rashida, I mean, it's the concerted effort that was made to prevent
00:52:22.491 --> 00:52:26.811
any Palestinians from speaking at the convention,
00:52:26.811 --> 00:52:34.311
even though there was an Israeli speaker that was speaking to the harm to Israeli
00:52:34.311 --> 00:52:40.451
families by the taking of hostages after October 7th or on October 7th.
00:52:40.531 --> 00:52:45.291
There was an opportunity to have a Palestinian speaker to talk about the harms
00:52:45.291 --> 00:52:49.171
to Palestinians by the aftermath of October 7th.
00:52:49.231 --> 00:52:53.491
And a Palestinian speaker who also happens to be an American,
00:52:53.671 --> 00:52:58.011
who also happens to be a Democrat, who also happens to be a legislator in Georgia,
00:52:58.271 --> 00:53:03.131
a state that the Democratic Party very much wanted to see a win in,
00:53:03.271 --> 00:53:06.791
and they excluded that Palestinian speaker.
00:53:07.091 --> 00:53:15.391
Why? Because she didn't fit the profile of what's considered an acceptable speaker on the main stage.
00:53:15.391 --> 00:53:20.511
And and and they threw an election over this idea of not being an inclusive
00:53:20.511 --> 00:53:26.431
party, which is bizarre and just shows you how deep it runs in our politics.
00:53:26.491 --> 00:53:30.391
This this idea that, you know, Palestinians, Muslims, Arabs,
00:53:30.591 --> 00:53:36.831
they're not legitimate. They're not a part of our party, the Democratic Party.
00:53:37.531 --> 00:53:45.711
There's something just wrong with this group of citizens, and somehow it's okay to exclude them.
00:53:46.591 --> 00:53:51.111
And to exclude them even when there's clear popular demand for them.
00:53:51.351 --> 00:53:53.571
I mean, that was the part that is the most surreal.
00:53:53.931 --> 00:53:57.091
Over the many years I've worked on this issue, I've had people say to me,
00:53:57.191 --> 00:54:01.131
listen, Palestine is not the most important issue in the world. There's other issues.
00:54:01.251 --> 00:54:04.611
Why do you keep trying to get this intoâwhy do you keep wanting to get this
00:54:04.611 --> 00:54:08.131
into the conversation? And I can explain why I think it's important to be in
00:54:08.131 --> 00:54:09.231
the conversation all the time.
00:54:09.411 --> 00:54:14.171
But now, given what's happening, the grassroots that, in theory,
00:54:14.411 --> 00:54:19.251
that convention was supposed to be appealing to and responding to wanted to talk about Palestine.
00:54:19.671 --> 00:54:23.731
And a leadership decided it was simply not permitted. Yeah, I think it was a
00:54:23.731 --> 00:54:25.591
missed opportunity. I was there in Chicago.
00:54:26.131 --> 00:54:28.371
I was fortunate enough to talk
00:54:28.371 --> 00:54:34.291
to some of the demonstrators and had one young lady on on the podcast.
00:54:34.451 --> 00:54:40.671
And I just felt it was a missed opportunity. I think Congresswoman Tlaib probably
00:54:40.671 --> 00:54:45.291
would have been the best person to really articulate. I don't have any problem
00:54:45.291 --> 00:54:47.771
with the young lady that's the state representative here.
00:54:47.971 --> 00:54:55.391
But I think Congresswoman Tlaib would have been the perfect person to reframe the issue.
00:54:55.911 --> 00:55:00.071
And again, this all goes into this perception question I'm going to lead to.
00:55:00.271 --> 00:55:04.451
But I'm going to go ahead and skip on because I know we've got a limited amount
00:55:04.451 --> 00:55:08.191
of time. What is the current situation now with the people in Gaza?
00:55:09.542 --> 00:55:13.582
No, I don't have a word, to be honest with you.
00:55:13.702 --> 00:55:17.882
I think we overused catastrophe, apocalyptic.
00:55:18.362 --> 00:55:23.062
I mean, I don't know what word to use anymore because I don't think we've ever
00:55:23.062 --> 00:55:24.702
seen something like this,
00:55:24.882 --> 00:55:29.642
where you have people now for over a month have been cut off from food,
00:55:29.782 --> 00:55:33.842
water, from any kind of supplies outside, from the outside.
00:55:34.522 --> 00:55:39.122
Humanitarian assistance is a population that's completely dependent on humanitarian
00:55:39.122 --> 00:55:44.202
assistance because of sort of how Gaza has been de-developed and how it's become
00:55:44.202 --> 00:55:45.842
dependent on Israel for everything.
00:55:46.502 --> 00:55:52.622
It's a population that also has been facing regular bombardment since the ceasefire ended.
00:55:52.802 --> 00:55:58.322
And we know that, you know, more than 50,000 people have already been killed.
00:55:58.502 --> 00:56:03.982
We know that over 100,000 are injured. We know that we've got the most population
00:56:03.982 --> 00:56:11.042
of children that have lost limbs, the highest population of children that are orphaned in conflict.
00:56:11.422 --> 00:56:14.302
It's a nightmarish situation.
00:56:15.282 --> 00:56:20.722
And we are, unless something's done, unless, you know, the borders are opened
00:56:20.722 --> 00:56:24.422
and supplies are brought in in the next couple of weeks, we're talking about,
00:56:24.422 --> 00:56:26.682
you know, mass starvation.
00:56:26.682 --> 00:56:33.262
I mean, just today, we heard reports about that we're already seeing children,
00:56:33.262 --> 00:56:36.222
you know, facing starvation and famine.
00:56:37.971 --> 00:56:44.331
It's unbelievable that in these modern times that we could allow this to happen.
00:56:44.551 --> 00:56:50.271
We, I say we, meaning the United States, a country that's supposed to be sort
00:56:50.271 --> 00:56:56.131
of this bastion of democracy and human rights and, you know,
00:56:56.311 --> 00:57:02.051
this light unto the world, that we're actually partners with Israel in the prosecution
00:57:02.051 --> 00:57:03.411
of what's happening in Gaza.
00:57:03.411 --> 00:57:11.891
And it seems like there's no one else around the world that's willing to, you know,
00:57:12.051 --> 00:57:16.971
to stand out and push Israel to end the blockade that it's imposed,
00:57:17.031 --> 00:57:23.571
that it's had really in place for, you know, the greater part of the, you know, two decades.
00:57:23.571 --> 00:57:29.871
But now strictly imposed to really force the Palestinians to want to leave.
00:57:30.491 --> 00:57:37.651
And those who don't will have to face the consequences of what we're seeing right now.
00:57:37.651 --> 00:57:42.651
And I just, you know, again, I don't have words for what's happening on the
00:57:42.651 --> 00:57:48.711
ground, but I also, you know, I can't explain the lack of humanity that I see as well.
00:57:49.131 --> 00:57:53.331
Not from good people that we've seen, you know, especially on these college
00:57:53.331 --> 00:57:57.471
campuses, students risking everything, but just from elected officials,
00:57:57.471 --> 00:58:00.811
this sort of apathy to what's taking place.
00:58:00.811 --> 00:58:04.571
It's really been shocking to me, to be honest.
00:58:05.731 --> 00:58:12.391
Laura, did you want to add anything to that? Look, I mean, this is a year and
00:58:12.391 --> 00:58:17.671
a half into what is almost the unimaginable reality of a live stream genocide.
00:58:18.860 --> 00:58:23.400
Live streamed. Anybody who wants to know what's happening in Gaza, get online.
00:58:23.800 --> 00:58:29.340
We have a year and a half now of either Israeli soldiers putting the videos
00:58:29.340 --> 00:58:30.940
up themselves showing what they're doing.
00:58:31.160 --> 00:58:34.840
We have drone footage of cities just reduced to rubble.
00:58:34.980 --> 00:58:39.820
We have statements from Israeli officials stating exactly what their intention is.
00:58:40.000 --> 00:58:46.280
And for those of us who very early on in this war on Gaza, because it's not
00:58:46.280 --> 00:58:48.180
really a war with Gaza, it's a war on Gaza,
00:58:48.560 --> 00:58:53.280
said the clear intent that is being expressed and that we are seeing implemented
00:58:53.280 --> 00:58:58.160
from almost day one in response to the October 7th Hamas attacks on Israel,
00:58:58.360 --> 00:59:04.440
the clear intent here is to eradicate Palestinians from Gaza, erase them,
00:59:04.900 --> 00:59:08.740
get all the people out, erase every trace of them ever being there, and then move forward.
00:59:08.940 --> 00:59:13.440
And today, that is pretty much the explicit policy of the Israeli government.
00:59:13.700 --> 00:59:18.620
They are now demolishing the ruins of any homes that are left in areas because
00:59:18.620 --> 00:59:20.100
they don't want Palestinians to come back.
00:59:20.260 --> 00:59:21.900
They are declaring that more than
00:59:21.900 --> 00:59:25.880
50% of Gaza is now a buffer zone where Palestinians will never be again.
00:59:26.080 --> 00:59:31.560
And they are day by day with more of these orders demanding the Palestinians move.
00:59:31.640 --> 00:59:34.360
These are Palestinians who've been moving over and over and over,
00:59:34.360 --> 00:59:38.000
carrying whatever they can on their backs less and less as their family members
00:59:38.000 --> 00:59:42.280
are slowly picked off and get sicker and hungrier and moving them into a smaller
00:59:42.280 --> 00:59:45.160
and smaller area of Gaza, which they are still bombing.
00:59:45.640 --> 00:59:50.260
And the clear intent, which they are now unabashed in saying because they say
00:59:50.260 --> 00:59:52.920
this is Trump's policy. We love it. We agree with Trump.
00:59:53.060 --> 00:59:55.900
We need to get everybody out. Palestinians can move somewhere else.
00:59:56.000 --> 00:59:58.320
If they stay here, they're all going to die.
00:59:58.600 --> 01:00:02.960
And they should be permitted, quote-unquote, permitted to voluntarily leave.
01:00:03.560 --> 01:00:06.900
Voluntarily means they can stay here and die or they can get out.
01:00:07.240 --> 01:00:11.540
That's not voluntary. That is ethnic cleansing, and is ethnic cleansing as part
01:00:11.540 --> 01:00:18.580
of a policy of genocide, which is systematically erasing Palestinian presence, Palestinian history,
01:00:19.040 --> 01:00:22.780
Palestinian possibility of ever existing again in Gaza.
01:00:23.838 --> 01:00:26.998
What got me sorry i just wanted to add this was
01:00:26.998 --> 01:00:30.678
the most sickest sort of cynical statement
01:00:30.678 --> 01:00:33.798
from the israeli prime minister netanyahu when
01:00:33.798 --> 01:00:37.078
he was saying you know it's it's so unbelievable
01:00:37.078 --> 01:00:42.958
how you know Palestinians you know should have a choice of where to go and they're
01:00:42.958 --> 01:00:47.798
not being given choice because the rest of the world won't absorb the Palestinians
01:00:47.798 --> 01:00:52.458
you know and you know without any self-consciousness that most of the Palestinians
01:00:52.458 --> 01:00:56.918
in Gaza are refugees from inside Israel,
01:00:57.078 --> 01:01:00.798
what became the state of Israel, or the descendants of refugees.
01:01:00.958 --> 01:01:05.558
So the place that they should go that's not preventing them to return is actually Israel.
01:01:05.978 --> 01:01:11.018
But he was able to say this statement as though the rest of the world is heartless.
01:01:11.118 --> 01:01:15.118
Why won't they take these Palestinians that clearly want to leave?
01:01:15.118 --> 01:01:19.438
Why would they want to stay after Israel's taken away every essential item of
01:01:19.438 --> 01:01:22.438
life from them and destroyed the entire Gaza Strip.
01:01:22.618 --> 01:01:26.818
Of course, they want to leave, he says, and the rest of the world won't take them.
01:01:26.938 --> 01:01:31.958
I mean, as though the rest of the world needs to, you know, needs to comply
01:01:31.958 --> 01:01:38.278
with his interests in seeing Gaza completely emptied of its population to further
01:01:38.278 --> 01:01:40.438
his greater Israel designs.
01:01:41.438 --> 01:01:47.878
Well, you know, hypocrisy and irony is, seems to be common speech in politics nowadays.
01:01:48.958 --> 01:01:54.938
What would be the impact of the United States gentrification of Gaza in the
01:01:54.938 --> 01:02:02.058
realm of not just with the Palestinians and the Israelis, but also in that Middle
01:02:02.058 --> 01:02:03.698
East region? What would be that impact?
01:02:04.798 --> 01:02:08.118
I mean, I just don't even think it's a real idea. You know,
01:02:08.258 --> 01:02:15.598
I hope that President Trump is saying these things because he's trying to spur
01:02:15.598 --> 01:02:21.058
the Arab governments in the region, including the Palestinians,
01:02:21.478 --> 01:02:31.578
to come up with a plan on governance of Gaza, come up with a plan for Gaza security that could work.
01:02:31.598 --> 01:02:34.938
And they have done this. They have come up with a plan.
01:02:35.198 --> 01:02:40.278
It's consistent with international law. It's consistent with Palestinians being
01:02:40.278 --> 01:02:46.238
in control of their own future and rebuilding Gaza in a way that supports a
01:02:46.238 --> 01:02:52.178
political solution in which Palestinians can self-determine and have sovereignty.
01:02:53.429 --> 01:02:59.249
This is not a plan that Israel likes. Obviously, they want to see no Palestinians,
01:02:59.249 --> 01:03:01.189
not only in Gaza, by the way.
01:03:01.329 --> 01:03:03.989
I mean, they don't want to see Palestinians in the West Bank either.
01:03:04.389 --> 01:03:11.129
They are moving just as fast in the West Bank to try to deploy mechanisms to
01:03:11.129 --> 01:03:12.749
force Palestinians out.
01:03:12.969 --> 01:03:18.069
They're using settlers to drive Palestinians out with pogroms.
01:03:18.369 --> 01:03:22.989
They're having soldiers destroy Palestinian refugee camps.
01:03:23.009 --> 01:03:30.229
We've seen 40,000 Palestinians forced out of their homes in these camps without anywhere to go.
01:03:30.809 --> 01:03:34.589
So, you know, I don't think President Trump's ideas are.
01:03:35.869 --> 01:03:40.789
Serious, but let's pretend that, you know, he does intend to do this,
01:03:40.909 --> 01:03:47.189
that he intends to take over Gaza and force the Palestinians out and start to rebuild.
01:03:47.389 --> 01:03:53.129
I mean, I don't, you know, this is not something that Egypt's going to be down
01:03:53.129 --> 01:03:57.869
with. It's not a plan that any of Israel's neighbors are going to be down with
01:03:57.869 --> 01:04:01.229
because they understand what this is going to mean. It's going to mean perpetual conflict.
01:04:01.629 --> 01:04:04.429
It's going to mean a destruction of the
01:04:04.429 --> 01:04:07.869
peace agreements that Israel has with its neighbors because this
01:04:07.869 --> 01:04:11.389
is going to turn the entire region into just
01:04:11.389 --> 01:04:14.909
one big violent mess so i
01:04:14.909 --> 01:04:17.749
i hope president trump's using using these kinds of
01:04:17.749 --> 01:04:23.349
statements to goad others but i i don't think it's serious solution here obviously
01:04:23.349 --> 01:04:30.129
it's it's it violates every notion we have of international law or human rights
01:04:30.129 --> 01:04:34.389
to think that in in this day and age we're going to have a colonial settlement
01:04:34.389 --> 01:04:37.549
constructed by the united states in the middle east,
01:04:38.990 --> 01:04:42.930
I sadly actually do take him seriously.
01:04:43.270 --> 01:04:47.590
This is an administration that in its first term, it basically created a new
01:04:47.590 --> 01:04:51.890
concept of international law when it said that Israel had a right to annex the Golan Heights.
01:04:52.010 --> 01:04:55.610
We recognize the Golan Heights as part of Israel. And the framing for that decision
01:04:55.610 --> 01:05:00.610
was, of course, they have a right to keep land that they have acquired in a defensive war.
01:05:01.270 --> 01:05:04.470
Nobody should have to give back land that they're being attacked from.
01:05:04.470 --> 01:05:09.170
I think that framing, which was just treated as obvious and,
01:05:09.170 --> 01:05:13.050
you know, matter of fact, you can claim land and, you know, it's as if people
01:05:13.050 --> 01:05:15.830
don't matter and the rights of the people on land don't matter.
01:05:16.010 --> 01:05:20.390
I mean, that was the policy under the first Trump term.
01:05:21.010 --> 01:05:24.310
I take him seriously when he looks at this and says, this is an easy problem.
01:05:24.450 --> 01:05:26.290
Get rid of the people and redevelop it.
01:05:26.870 --> 01:05:33.710
You know, Israel has basically, since its birth as a state, has operated from
01:05:33.710 --> 01:05:36.490
a, you know, we will achieve fait accompli on the ground.
01:05:36.710 --> 01:05:40.070
We won't ask for permission. We won't ask for forgiveness. We'll do it and the
01:05:40.070 --> 01:05:42.910
world will accept it. And we'll spin it as, this is why we're right.
01:05:43.030 --> 01:05:46.310
And anyone who disagrees with us is an anti-Semite and doesn't know what's good for them.
01:05:46.310 --> 01:05:50.190
And in this context right now, with the Trump administration as a partner,
01:05:50.490 --> 01:05:54.830
I think the intent is to achieve as many of these faits accompli as they can,
01:05:55.030 --> 01:05:59.310
including in Syria, where they're taking more and more land, including in Lebanon,
01:05:59.790 --> 01:06:05.090
including in the West Bank, with the idea that this is an historic opportunity to change.
01:06:05.090 --> 01:06:08.970
It's not just changing the rules of the game, it's clearing the board and creating
01:06:08.970 --> 01:06:12.170
a new board that the region will go forward with.
01:06:12.370 --> 01:06:18.470
And basically, assuming that between Israel's military strength and the support
01:06:18.470 --> 01:06:23.290
of the world and the alliances that they will make out of convenience against
01:06:23.290 --> 01:06:28.070
Iran or because of the transactional alliances with Arab states that are prone
01:06:28.070 --> 01:06:29.750
to that, that they'll get away with it.
01:06:29.750 --> 01:06:35.070
And, you know, I think it's possible to imagine from the perspective of an Israeli
01:06:35.070 --> 01:06:39.670
who views this as, you know, their greater Israel agenda given to them by God,
01:06:39.850 --> 01:06:43.530
that they think they really do have this opportunity. They don't see obstacles at this point.
01:06:43.950 --> 01:06:49.610
All right. So my final two questions is based off of this premise that I brought out.
01:06:50.150 --> 01:06:57.830
Some would argue that the current Palestinian-Israeli conflict has created a new era of McCarthyism.
01:06:57.830 --> 01:07:03.910
So, one, why do you think it is acceptable in the United States to muzzle the
01:07:03.910 --> 01:07:06.350
free speech of Palestinians and their supporters?
01:07:06.710 --> 01:07:12.550
And two, what can be done to change public perception of the Palestinian people?
01:07:13.982 --> 01:07:18.602
I actually don't think that people are accepting this notion that you should
01:07:18.602 --> 01:07:25.062
muzzle Palestinians and not allow them to protest or dissent or to show opposition to U.S.
01:07:25.262 --> 01:07:33.842
Foreign policy or to show disapproval with the policies of a university administration.
01:07:33.842 --> 01:07:36.902
I think that people are waking up to like, this is very dangerous.
01:07:36.902 --> 01:07:43.462
If you can silence one group of people, one vulnerable group of people,
01:07:43.662 --> 01:07:48.142
in this case that what we're seeing now, immigrants, people that are visa holders,
01:07:48.362 --> 01:07:49.542
lawful permanent residents,
01:07:49.882 --> 01:07:55.422
if you can silence those individuals, who's next?
01:07:55.422 --> 01:08:01.482
And so people are making the connection with this idea that, you know, the U.S.
01:08:01.642 --> 01:08:07.862
Should not be allowed to shut down protests against the government,
01:08:08.442 --> 01:08:13.662
against government policies, because it doesn't like, you know,
01:08:13.742 --> 01:08:16.902
it doesn't like the ideas that are being advanced.
01:08:17.642 --> 01:08:22.602
That's a very, once we set that precedent, that will be used with every other
01:08:22.602 --> 01:08:24.622
group. It will be expanded.
01:08:24.902 --> 01:08:29.002
We've seen it time and time again, where we've adopted policies,
01:08:29.002 --> 01:08:34.062
first testing them out on the most vulnerable among us, seeing whether it can
01:08:34.062 --> 01:08:37.142
fly, especially through the court system.
01:08:37.502 --> 01:08:41.022
And then we start to apply them more broadly.
01:08:41.022 --> 01:08:48.782
I think about sort of before 9-11, for example, the first people that were being.
01:08:49.622 --> 01:08:54.562
That had used against them terrorism laws to try to silence them,
01:08:54.662 --> 01:09:02.442
to try to prosecute them without being able to show evidence by having secret
01:09:02.442 --> 01:09:04.222
evidence, the use of secret evidence.
01:09:04.582 --> 01:09:10.662
And these were Palestinians that were being prosecuted with secret evidence. And then 9-11 happened.
01:09:11.022 --> 01:09:16.102
And because they got away with it with Palestinians, it started being used more
01:09:16.102 --> 01:09:21.742
broadly, not just with Muslims and Arabs, but it started being used with anyone
01:09:21.742 --> 01:09:24.502
that was, quote unquote, a terrorist.
01:09:24.502 --> 01:09:32.122
And that terrorism label got thrown around to a lot of different people, domestic and foreign.
01:09:32.442 --> 01:09:35.442
So, I mean, we have lived through that.
01:09:35.642 --> 01:09:38.902
It's in people's memory and they're seeing
01:09:38.902 --> 01:09:43.682
this happen now with speech on campus and they're understanding that they have
01:09:43.682 --> 01:09:48.882
to stand up for what's right here and what's consistent with our constitution
01:09:48.882 --> 01:09:53.762
and our freedoms in a democratic society because if we don't push back against
01:09:53.762 --> 01:09:55.962
this, This is going to become the new normal.
01:09:58.132 --> 01:10:01.552
I agree with everything Zaha just said. I'll just add, I mean,
01:10:01.632 --> 01:10:05.692
I've been using the term new McCarthyism, feels like we're going to Red Scare,
01:10:05.872 --> 01:10:07.172
the claim that this is anti-American.
01:10:07.472 --> 01:10:11.852
I mean, we've seen this building since under the Biden administration.
01:10:11.852 --> 01:10:13.132
I think a lot of where we are right
01:10:13.132 --> 01:10:17.952
now, the path was laid by the Biden administration, which is what it is.
01:10:18.152 --> 01:10:22.892
But I think that what is maybe different right now, I think all of us are.
01:10:23.812 --> 01:10:26.592
None of us lived through the McCarthy era, but we've all studied it.
01:10:26.592 --> 01:10:29.792
I mean, one of the things that is, I think, very different right now is that
01:10:29.792 --> 01:10:36.452
in that era, you had an administration cynically weaponizing fears about communism,
01:10:36.452 --> 01:10:40.692
which were massively overblown, massively overstated, right?
01:10:40.952 --> 01:10:44.512
There wasn't a massive communist support within the US.
01:10:44.692 --> 01:10:47.872
There is massive support for Palestinians now.
01:10:47.872 --> 01:10:51.692
This is why there's this absolute imperative to shut this down,
01:10:51.712 --> 01:10:57.132
because so many Americans, not just students, have over the past year and a
01:10:57.132 --> 01:11:00.372
half seen what's happened and said, this cannot be, this cannot be permitted.
01:11:00.512 --> 01:11:03.872
I don't want my taxpayer dollars supporting this. I want us to stand up to it.
01:11:03.872 --> 01:11:08.532
So it's a very different thing to try to shut it down and expect people to kind
01:11:08.532 --> 01:11:11.172
of, you know, hide and say, I don't want to get in trouble. People are very
01:11:11.172 --> 01:11:12.232
far out on a limb already.
01:11:12.812 --> 01:11:18.812
And if the argument is going to be that, for instance, the young man from Colombia
01:11:18.812 --> 01:11:19.852
who they're trying to deport.
01:11:20.152 --> 01:11:23.352
Well, yesterday we saw the government statement for why they're trying to deport
01:11:23.352 --> 01:11:25.172
him. They're not saying he broke any laws.
01:11:25.312 --> 01:11:30.612
They're saying his ideas, what he believes are a challenge, are a problem for U.S.
01:11:30.732 --> 01:11:34.312
National security. Well, if what he believes are somehow illegal,
01:11:34.452 --> 01:11:36.252
so he has to be deported for U.S.
01:11:36.332 --> 01:11:41.132
National security, then what a huge tens of thousands or millions of Americans believe?
01:11:41.872 --> 01:11:45.212
Effectively, they're saying that that's also not allowed for national security reasons.
01:11:45.792 --> 01:11:49.692
It's not for nothing that they started their attack on immigrants and their
01:11:49.692 --> 01:11:53.252
attack on visa holders with people focused on Palestine.
01:11:53.552 --> 01:11:57.252
They saw it as a political winner, right? Democrats are afraid to defend them
01:11:57.252 --> 01:11:59.092
because they don't want to be called anti-Semites and pro-terror.
01:11:59.432 --> 01:12:01.892
Republicans love it. It's red meat. And what they're seeing,
01:12:01.952 --> 01:12:05.952
I think, is a lot more pushback than they expected, which I don't I think that's
01:12:05.952 --> 01:12:08.452
just going to get stronger. All right. Well.
01:12:10.310 --> 01:12:13.630
Hassan, I know you got to go, Ms. Friedman.
01:12:13.830 --> 01:12:19.970
I greatly appreciate both of y'all coming on to the podcast and talking about this issue.
01:12:20.230 --> 01:12:25.370
I wish we had a little more time, but both of y'all have an open invitation to come back.
01:12:25.690 --> 01:12:33.770
I know Ms. Hassan has basically said you can reach her at Zaha Hassan on X.
01:12:34.270 --> 01:12:37.730
Ms. Friedman, how can people get in touch with you and how can people get a
01:12:37.730 --> 01:12:39.570
copy of the book that y'all put together?
01:12:40.310 --> 01:12:44.630
So you can find me also on X at Lara Friedman, D.C., L-A-R-A,
01:12:44.990 --> 01:12:47.910
Friedman, D.C., and you can get a copy of the book.
01:12:48.090 --> 01:12:50.910
It's available on any place where you buy books.
01:12:51.010 --> 01:12:54.830
I don't want to recommend any specific booksellers, but it is widely available
01:12:54.830 --> 01:12:56.110
anywhere you want to buy books.
01:12:56.310 --> 01:13:00.310
I'd encourage people to go to independent bookstores and buy it in person. That's always better.
01:13:01.310 --> 01:13:05.590
Yeah, and give the name of the book again. I'm sorry. Oh, now you tricked me.
01:13:05.650 --> 01:13:06.690
I don't have it in front of me.
01:13:07.530 --> 01:13:13.250
Can you pull that up for the show notes? Yeah, I'll tell the listeners how to get it.
01:13:13.450 --> 01:13:16.470
The Time Moved So Fast, the book, which only came out recently,
01:13:16.730 --> 01:13:19.030
feels like it came out a lifetime ago at this point.
01:13:19.190 --> 01:13:26.010
Well, I know it's been a lifetime work with you and Ms. Hassan in speaking up.
01:13:26.150 --> 01:13:34.950
And hopefully, my wish is that, you know, the majority of Americans will have an open mind on this.
01:13:34.950 --> 01:13:39.630
I think part of the problem has been, as you had stated earlier,
01:13:39.810 --> 01:13:41.690
it's been very one-sided.
01:13:42.310 --> 01:13:48.310
And politically, we've been socialized that way. But I hope with the work that you and Ms.
01:13:48.390 --> 01:13:52.770
Asana are doing and this new generation of leaders coming up,
01:13:52.910 --> 01:13:54.570
that we'll have a more open dialogue.
01:13:54.990 --> 01:13:59.490
So I thank y'all. I join you in that hope very strongly. And thank you for all you do.
01:14:00.010 --> 01:14:02.450
All right, guys. We're going to catch y'all on the other side.
01:14:04.560 --> 01:14:14.000
Music.
01:14:14.100 --> 01:14:18.880
Ladies and gentlemen, as a bonus treat, even though the subject is not necessarily
01:14:18.880 --> 01:14:22.520
a treat, I have my good friend Rick Roberts.
01:14:22.840 --> 01:14:25.620
Rick has been a guest on the program.
01:14:26.080 --> 01:14:32.200
He was scheduled to come back on and he submitted some information that I read
01:14:32.200 --> 01:14:36.420
to y'all dealing with these tariffs and the basics about what tariffs are.
01:14:36.880 --> 01:14:40.760
Rick is a specialist professor in the Department of Economics,
01:14:40.920 --> 01:14:43.160
Finance and Real Estate at Monmouth University.
01:14:44.080 --> 01:14:47.500
And he is a true believer in the open invitation.
01:14:47.700 --> 01:14:53.000
When I said, anytime you want to come on, you can, and Rick is taking advantage
01:14:53.000 --> 01:14:57.800
of that either at being a guest or submitting some information.
01:14:58.040 --> 01:15:00.100
So Rick, it's good to have you on.
01:15:00.880 --> 01:15:08.060
Thanks. Always happy to be here, Erik. Well, I need you to explain now what is.
01:15:08.260 --> 01:15:19.040
So President Trump has decided to lift the tariffs off of some of the countries
01:15:19.040 --> 01:15:21.760
that he had the tariffs on.
01:15:21.760 --> 01:15:26.360
He still got it going on with China and China has responded,
01:15:26.360 --> 01:15:30.600
but he took the tariffs off.
01:15:30.840 --> 01:15:39.980
And one of the issues that he cited was the surging bond yields as one of the
01:15:39.980 --> 01:15:44.020
reasons why he decided to lift a lot of those tariffs.
01:15:44.020 --> 01:15:52.080
Explain why bond yields or surging bond yields, however he put it out there.
01:15:52.960 --> 01:15:57.580
Would make him make that kind of a decision.
01:15:58.260 --> 01:16:03.520
Great. That's a great question. The bond yields were increasing.
01:16:04.060 --> 01:16:07.240
Let's first answer why were they going up anyway?
01:16:07.640 --> 01:16:12.840
And then why, given that they went up, did that encourage Trump to pull off
01:16:12.840 --> 01:16:16.180
the tariffs or back off on many of them?
01:16:16.420 --> 01:16:25.100
So the bond market interest rates were going up, frankly, because of the tariffs that Trump had.
01:16:26.298 --> 01:16:31.718
Was threatening, and then on so-called Liberation Day, he was calling it,
01:16:32.018 --> 01:16:38.638
he announced, as you correctly stated, a broad set of very high tariffs against
01:16:38.638 --> 01:16:43.858
most trading partners and extremely high against China.
01:16:44.498 --> 01:16:49.878
I mean, as an aside, there was no rhyme or rhythm to his calculations.
01:16:49.878 --> 01:16:54.158
I don't know any economists, serious or frankly not serious,
01:16:54.158 --> 01:16:57.898
I see Khan was a good figure out where he came up with those numbers.
01:16:58.018 --> 01:17:02.118
But nevertheless, he announced some pretty meaty tariffs across the board.
01:17:02.618 --> 01:17:10.338
And, well, as I believe, yeah, in fact, I heard what you said on your prior podcast.
01:17:10.498 --> 01:17:13.418
You referenced some notes that I'd shared with you.
01:17:15.278 --> 01:17:19.898
Tariffs increase inflation. There's not much debate about that.
01:17:20.058 --> 01:17:25.138
There's not much debate about that, right? If the good that you buy that's made
01:17:25.138 --> 01:17:31.098
overseas is now getting taxed at our border, it's going to be more expensive when you buy it.
01:17:31.198 --> 01:17:35.158
So your Amazon products or whatever, not that they're all from overseas,
01:17:35.198 --> 01:17:39.378
but I know many of the ones I purchase are, you know, are made overseas.
01:17:39.378 --> 01:17:42.198
They're going to now be more expensive. That's inflation.
01:17:42.598 --> 01:17:47.898
And even more importantly, U.S. producers of products, U.S.
01:17:48.798 --> 01:17:53.998
Manufacturers, now how would they be impacted by tariffs on foreign products?
01:17:54.298 --> 01:17:55.838
Well, they are because U.S.
01:17:56.758 --> 01:18:06.298
Manufacturers largely rely at least some on foreign inputs into their manufacturing process.
01:18:06.518 --> 01:18:13.118
So, for example, if I own a bicycle company, I'm making bicycles in the U.S.
01:18:13.278 --> 01:18:17.978
And I import my tires because they're cheap.
01:18:19.006 --> 01:18:24.186
This is hypothetical, but just to give you and your listeners an example here.
01:18:24.386 --> 01:18:29.586
So if I'm making a bicycle here in the U.S. and I import my tires because they're
01:18:29.586 --> 01:18:35.566
cheaper overseas, if those tires now become more expensive, that increases my
01:18:35.566 --> 01:18:37.446
cost to make my bicycle, right?
01:18:38.266 --> 01:18:41.506
And, you know, what am I going to do? Where am I going to get that money to
01:18:41.506 --> 01:18:46.226
pick up the extra cost associated with the higher import prices,
01:18:46.226 --> 01:18:47.626
the higher cost of my tires?
01:18:47.686 --> 01:18:52.786
Well, I have two options. And the extremes are I could be super nice and take
01:18:52.786 --> 01:18:57.446
that extra money for the tires that I now have to pay out of my profits.
01:18:57.786 --> 01:19:05.446
And at the other extreme, I could just pass that whole extra cost on to my consumers,
01:19:05.466 --> 01:19:07.506
the buyers of my bicycle.
01:19:07.686 --> 01:19:11.386
I could say, hey, it's costing me more to build this bicycle now.
01:19:11.506 --> 01:19:16.886
My tires are more expensive. You have to pay more. And the fact is,
01:19:17.046 --> 01:19:19.266
the reality is somewhere between the two,
01:19:19.546 --> 01:19:25.526
a company will typically eat some of that increased cost from their profits,
01:19:25.666 --> 01:19:28.326
but pass the bulk of it on to the consumer.
01:19:28.326 --> 01:19:32.846
So that's a second example of inflation hitting the consumer.
01:19:33.046 --> 01:19:38.206
It's not that they're buying the products from overseas like the Amazon example, right?
01:19:38.406 --> 01:19:42.466
It's more they're buying a U.S. product, but that product made in the U.S.
01:19:42.626 --> 01:19:49.606
Relies on inputs from overseas, and that will raise the product price.
01:19:49.606 --> 01:19:52.786
And that's inflation as well. And, you know, even U.S.
01:19:52.966 --> 01:19:56.586
Cars, there's only two cars made in the U.S.
01:19:57.446 --> 01:20:01.066
That are totally made with U.S. products.
01:20:01.286 --> 01:20:05.946
And oddly, those cars are Tesla and Rivian.
01:20:06.446 --> 01:20:09.566
They're produced totally with U.S. products.
01:20:09.726 --> 01:20:14.706
Even, you know, your Ford trucks, your GM trucks and so forth, these are U.S.
01:20:14.866 --> 01:20:22.146
Produced. but they rely on about anywhere from 25% to 50% or even higher in
01:20:22.146 --> 01:20:26.026
some situations of the truck itself.
01:20:26.026 --> 01:20:30.206
The parts are made overseas, so they have to get these parts from overseas.
01:20:30.206 --> 01:20:33.646
And if they're going to be more expensive, those products are going to be more expensive.
01:20:33.826 --> 01:20:38.446
So that's the tariff story as you relayed to your listeners last time.
01:20:38.746 --> 01:20:43.926
I repeat it because it's a little confusing for most folks who don't deal with this. Right.
01:20:44.146 --> 01:20:48.086
But so that, so we think higher inflation because of tariffs.
01:20:48.386 --> 01:20:52.926
Now the federal reserve is the policy maker. Right.
01:20:53.548 --> 01:20:58.488
And what's a policymaker do? They stare at an economic policymaker,
01:20:58.608 --> 01:21:04.488
stares at the economy, and if it's going fine, that's the end of their job, basically.
01:21:04.788 --> 01:21:09.068
But if it's not going fine, they try to fix it.
01:21:09.208 --> 01:21:13.788
And the Federal Reserve is a policymaker, so if they're looking at the economy
01:21:13.788 --> 01:21:18.348
and they look at it and say, is it going fine? They look at two things.
01:21:18.548 --> 01:21:22.928
They look at employment and they look at inflation. And either one of those
01:21:22.928 --> 01:21:29.048
readings, the employment numbers or the inflation numbers aren't to their liking.
01:21:30.048 --> 01:21:34.328
They try to fix that. And the way they fix that is they use a tool that they
01:21:34.328 --> 01:21:37.208
have in their toolkit, if you will, and it's interest rates.
01:21:37.208 --> 01:21:42.548
So, for example, inflation, as you know, has been high since COVID.
01:21:42.788 --> 01:21:46.708
It's come down quite a bit, but it's not back to where it needs to be.
01:21:46.888 --> 01:21:51.468
The Federal Reserve targets 2% inflation, and it's been, you know,
01:21:51.548 --> 01:21:55.588
although it has come down from 7%, it's been hanging around 3%,
01:21:55.588 --> 01:21:57.488
a little lower this morning.
01:21:57.528 --> 01:22:02.128
Although those numbers are a little misleading, we shouldn't get too excited about it.
01:22:02.248 --> 01:22:06.708
But inflation's been high. It hasn't never returned to normal,
01:22:06.708 --> 01:22:10.088
and the Fed was continuing to fight it.
01:22:10.308 --> 01:22:17.448
However, now we have these tariffs in place that if they go through as written,
01:22:17.888 --> 01:22:23.968
are going to pose a lot of upward pressure on prices, and we're going to have even higher inflation.
01:22:24.528 --> 01:22:30.508
And how does the Federal Reserve deal with inflation? That means they're going
01:22:30.508 --> 01:22:35.488
to raise interest rates. So the market was anticipating, and this is what led
01:22:35.488 --> 01:22:37.868
to the higher rates in bonds.
01:22:38.108 --> 01:22:44.488
The market participants were out there saying in so many words, wait a second.
01:22:45.581 --> 01:22:50.841
Get it, tariffs probably mean higher inflation.
01:22:51.081 --> 01:22:55.521
And higher inflation probably means the Federal Reserve is going to have to
01:22:55.521 --> 01:22:56.841
raise interest rates again.
01:22:56.861 --> 01:22:59.481
So we better get in front of the curve on that.
01:22:59.701 --> 01:23:06.341
And bond rates went up. And of course, higher rates in the economy is not good
01:23:06.341 --> 01:23:09.441
generally for the economy. It causes the economy to slow down.
01:23:10.001 --> 01:23:13.341
You and I spend less because loans
01:23:13.341 --> 01:23:17.061
are more expensive you know that car we were looking at we
01:23:17.061 --> 01:23:20.421
were ready to pull the trigger now we're not gonna purchase
01:23:20.421 --> 01:23:24.561
it because the monthly payment's too high the rates went up so we pull back
01:23:24.561 --> 01:23:31.461
on spending same with mortgages right and and others so and and businesses don't
01:23:31.461 --> 01:23:36.361
expand because it's more costly to borrow money and so forth so higher interest
01:23:36.361 --> 01:23:39.921
rates are not good for the economy and Trump knows that.
01:23:40.661 --> 01:23:45.721
And this is why he stepped in and said, I see the rates going up.
01:23:45.801 --> 01:23:52.081
I understand why they're going up because there's fears of these tariffs causing inflation.
01:23:52.321 --> 01:23:58.881
So what I need to do is try to remove that fear of inflation and then hopefully
01:23:58.881 --> 01:24:02.321
we'll see bond rates go back down. So that's what happened.
01:24:02.661 --> 01:24:11.441
So it's more or less the, He caused the problem that he ran out and claimed
01:24:11.441 --> 01:24:13.761
he saved the day regarding.
01:24:13.761 --> 01:24:19.541
So he basically tried to fix a major problem that he had caused by threatening
01:24:19.541 --> 01:24:22.961
these tariffs, which put upward pressure on interest rates.
01:24:23.041 --> 01:24:26.021
I know that's a mouthful, but that's the gist of what's going on.
01:24:26.421 --> 01:24:31.281
Tariffs led to higher interest rates in the market, in the bond market.
01:24:31.281 --> 01:24:36.021
They're bad for the economy and Trump said all right I gotta I gotta back off
01:24:36.021 --> 01:24:42.701
on these tariffs yeah so here's here's a question that that I have right because
01:24:42.701 --> 01:24:44.261
you you know the stock market.
01:24:45.177 --> 01:24:52.837
Is used, well, the general purpose is to raise capital for businesses so they can operate.
01:24:53.077 --> 01:24:58.337
They have a little more money other than whatever profit margin they get.
01:24:58.737 --> 01:25:03.177
If their stock goes up, then that's more money that they can leverage for loans
01:25:03.177 --> 01:25:04.737
or wherever the case may be, right?
01:25:04.737 --> 01:25:18.657
But why would companies in the stock market feel that they have to lose capital, right?
01:25:18.737 --> 01:25:24.417
That they have to sell these stocks in order to make sure that,
01:25:24.717 --> 01:25:29.057
well, to offset what these tariffs are going to do.
01:25:29.237 --> 01:25:37.517
Explain the logic behind that. I would look at it maybe as I would talk to my
01:25:37.517 --> 01:25:40.677
class about it, maybe with a simple example.
01:25:40.797 --> 01:25:48.737
If you think inflation is going up because of the tariffs, that's going to lead
01:25:48.737 --> 01:25:53.037
to higher interest rates and slower economic growth.
01:25:53.037 --> 01:26:02.097
Slower economic growth leads to less production by companies and companies make
01:26:02.097 --> 01:26:06.497
up the stock market so if the economy is going to slow.
01:26:07.646 --> 01:26:13.006
Companies don't need to produce as much, and they're not as profitable as a result.
01:26:13.726 --> 01:26:16.886
Additionally, they start laying off people. That's a second story.
01:26:17.126 --> 01:26:21.346
But they're not as profitable if they're not producing and selling as much.
01:26:21.546 --> 01:26:24.766
And in a higher interest rate environment, they're not going to be.
01:26:24.986 --> 01:26:29.706
So what we saw was, you know, why do you buy stock?
01:26:29.706 --> 01:26:34.686
Whether it's a wholesale buyer of stock in the market, a big,
01:26:34.686 --> 01:26:39.606
sophisticated buyer, or a retail buyer like you and me,
01:26:39.966 --> 01:26:45.546
less sophisticated, or I'll speak for myself on that, a smaller dollar, right?
01:26:45.626 --> 01:26:48.066
We call that retail investor versus a wholesale.
01:26:48.866 --> 01:26:54.606
Why do we buy stock? Generally speaking, we buy stock with the anticipation
01:26:54.606 --> 01:26:59.706
that that stock is going up in value, right? We want to profit from it.
01:27:00.046 --> 01:27:05.166
And what would cause the stock to go up in value? It's when the company becomes
01:27:05.166 --> 01:27:07.786
more profitable than they are now.
01:27:07.966 --> 01:27:16.326
So we buy stock in anticipation of a company doing better than they're doing
01:27:16.326 --> 01:27:22.046
now. They're going to maintain solid, if not increasing profits over time.
01:27:22.226 --> 01:27:28.666
That's why we buy stock. If suddenly we fear increased rates are going to come
01:27:28.666 --> 01:27:32.866
into play in the future as a result of the higher inflation,
01:27:32.866 --> 01:27:33.986
as we talked about earlier.
01:27:35.046 --> 01:27:39.886
That's the same as saying we don't think these companies are going to be as
01:27:39.886 --> 01:27:43.066
profitable in the future because they're not going to be able to sell as much
01:27:43.066 --> 01:27:44.666
in a higher interest rate environment.
01:27:45.926 --> 01:27:51.886
And we're not interested in buying their stock at this point. And in fact.
01:27:52.937 --> 01:27:58.557
If I own their stock right now, I bought it in anticipation of them doing very well.
01:27:58.837 --> 01:28:04.117
I didn't know about this higher interest rate coming because of Trump's tariffs.
01:28:04.637 --> 01:28:11.977
So the price of the stock that I was anticipating is probably not going to increase like I thought.
01:28:12.197 --> 01:28:17.197
So I better get rid of it. So what we ended up seeing here with that big drop
01:28:17.197 --> 01:28:22.977
over a number of days and really sharp drop after he announced the high tariffs
01:28:22.977 --> 01:28:27.157
is that people said, certainly we're not going to buy any stock.
01:28:27.337 --> 01:28:32.397
This is going to be bad for the market, these higher interest rates that result from the tariffs.
01:28:32.837 --> 01:28:40.297
And if I own the stock, I anticipate the company doing worse and their stock
01:28:40.297 --> 01:28:43.757
price as a result will drop too. So I better sell now.
01:28:44.177 --> 01:28:48.157
So that's what we saw, people dumping their stock wholesale and retail,
01:28:48.357 --> 01:28:51.697
and the price in the markets really collapsed.
01:28:51.957 --> 01:29:00.037
Over a short period of time, the stock market dropped near record levels in percentage terms.
01:29:00.477 --> 01:29:07.497
And then interest rates started to go up, as you mentioned, and that further
01:29:07.497 --> 01:29:11.117
led to the downward movement in stocks.
01:29:11.117 --> 01:29:17.937
Oh, we thought inflation higher rates, but the bond markets really move in that way and quickly.
01:29:18.037 --> 01:29:23.357
So the decline accelerated. And then Trump came out and said.
01:29:24.706 --> 01:29:28.626
Let me pull back a bit on what I said earlier.
01:29:28.866 --> 01:29:32.586
And it's important for us, and I'll pause here to take your question,
01:29:32.766 --> 01:29:42.546
to clarify, I think, for your listeners, what exactly he did in terms of pulling back on the tariffs.
01:29:42.786 --> 01:29:54.246
It's not what certainly the press reports, and it should be concerning to you, me, and your listeners.
01:29:54.706 --> 01:29:58.146
But I can get into that. But let me stop and see if you have any questions at
01:29:58.146 --> 01:29:59.706
that point, at this point.
01:29:59.926 --> 01:30:05.226
Well, I want you to clarify that. But the one last question I was going to ask
01:30:05.226 --> 01:30:11.706
you was, you know, in light of the stock market, you know, dropping.
01:30:12.346 --> 01:30:19.366
And then he took the initiative. He took the step to end, quote unquote,
01:30:19.846 --> 01:30:22.326
the tariffs on certain countries.
01:30:22.326 --> 01:30:25.826
He then got on his social
01:30:25.826 --> 01:30:29.086
media platform i guess true social and said
01:30:29.086 --> 01:30:32.466
he basically told people to buy stock is
01:30:32.466 --> 01:30:38.646
what he did he now the question was did he i can't remember did he do it before
01:30:38.646 --> 01:30:44.526
he made the announcement about the tariffs or or after i want to say it was
01:30:44.526 --> 01:30:50.586
before he he he told people to go ahead and start buying stocks and then he dropped the tariffs.
01:30:50.886 --> 01:30:58.086
So some people are concerned that that was, if it wasn't illegal, it was unethical. So.
01:30:59.472 --> 01:31:02.412
Kind of you know what what's
01:31:02.412 --> 01:31:05.452
your take on it let's put it that way you know
01:31:05.452 --> 01:31:08.392
i it it's sad to
01:31:08.392 --> 01:31:15.572
say but you almost assume you know most things that trump and his administration
01:31:15.572 --> 01:31:23.152
do you know are questionable at least on the margin it's the same it's a shame
01:31:23.152 --> 01:31:28.272
that we just kind of just assume that anymore but That's just what he's all about.
01:31:28.652 --> 01:31:34.312
I don't think he comes to the table with a degree of integrity and ethics,
01:31:34.312 --> 01:31:36.772
and I'm not a partisan at all,
01:31:36.912 --> 01:31:44.772
but a degree of ethics and integrity that we've come to expect out of our national leaders.
01:31:44.772 --> 01:31:52.192
So I don't know if he did that or not, but, you know, I just assume he and his
01:31:52.192 --> 01:31:57.432
friends handsomely profited from that turn in the market.
01:31:57.432 --> 01:32:03.772
You know, certainly, you know, I would, you know, be pretty confident on the
01:32:03.772 --> 01:32:08.092
evidence of this, that certainly folks knew that he was going to make that announcement,
01:32:08.612 --> 01:32:10.812
folks in his inner circle and beyond.
01:32:11.412 --> 01:32:16.412
And, you know, they got in in anticipation of that sharp increase in the market.
01:32:16.892 --> 01:32:19.752
Is it ethical? Certainly not.
01:32:20.472 --> 01:32:28.332
Legal? Probably not. You know, do we have much time to mess with that issue?
01:32:29.112 --> 01:32:36.012
Probably not. We could have, you know, many people employed gainfully chasing
01:32:36.012 --> 01:32:39.612
down Trump and his questionable antics.
01:32:40.572 --> 01:32:43.972
Well, Rick, is there anything else you want to add to this discussion?
01:32:43.972 --> 01:32:47.792
I think what you've contributed has been very helpful for the listeners.
01:32:48.392 --> 01:32:56.452
Well, I do. I think the press has more or less reported that Trump has changed
01:32:56.452 --> 01:32:58.772
his mind and he's pulled back on the tariffs.
01:33:00.130 --> 01:33:03.370
Against all countries except for China.
01:33:04.150 --> 01:33:11.510
That's not what's happened. And let me clarify. He has pulled back but not eliminated the tariffs.
01:33:11.750 --> 01:33:18.530
He has still left 10% tariffs in place against most countries.
01:33:18.530 --> 01:33:22.970
There's a couple exceptions here and there, but let's just say 10% across the
01:33:22.970 --> 01:33:26.730
board for most countries, against most countries.
01:33:26.930 --> 01:33:29.870
That happens to be, just to give you a historical perspective,
01:33:30.130 --> 01:33:33.490
That would be much higher than, you know,
01:33:33.630 --> 01:33:38.470
in a historical sense than any tariffs we've seen, even these smooth hollows
01:33:38.470 --> 01:33:42.390
that we talk about from around the Great Depression times.
01:33:42.610 --> 01:33:50.830
So this, you know, what he left in place, although much below what he was barking
01:33:50.830 --> 01:33:54.230
about and threatening, is still meaningful.
01:33:54.230 --> 01:33:59.470
Now, he says, you know, his phone's ringing off the hook with,
01:33:59.770 --> 01:34:04.810
you know, depending on who you listen to, 20, between 20 and 70 countries are
01:34:04.810 --> 01:34:07.970
calling and wanting to negotiate and so forth.
01:34:08.510 --> 01:34:12.590
Who knows what's going on with that? But as it sits right now,
01:34:12.730 --> 01:34:16.650
there's still some meaningful tariffs in place against countries.
01:34:16.870 --> 01:34:20.990
10 percent. That's meaningful. That means something in terms of the prices we
01:34:20.990 --> 01:34:27.170
pay, potential Fed interest rate moves, et cetera, and slower economy,
01:34:27.210 --> 01:34:28.410
as we were just talking about.
01:34:28.610 --> 01:34:34.170
It's not a zero. We didn't go back to no concerns at all. We still have some meaningful concerns.
01:34:34.590 --> 01:34:41.990
10%, granted, isn't 30 or 60 or these other numbers you threw out on so-called
01:34:41.990 --> 01:34:44.070
Liberation Day, but it's still meaningful.
01:34:44.070 --> 01:34:54.110
Secondly, he raised the tariff as part of a trade war, I'd say, with China.
01:34:54.350 --> 01:34:59.650
And it's currently, you know, I think it went from maybe 34%,
01:34:59.650 --> 01:35:06.450
35% to near more than 130% against China.
01:35:06.850 --> 01:35:10.970
Okay, so there's two ways to look at that. You say, well, he lowered it all
01:35:10.970 --> 01:35:13.130
the way down to 10% for everybody else.
01:35:13.130 --> 01:35:16.170
And then he just bumped it up for only one country
01:35:16.170 --> 01:35:19.210
so this isn't that you know he's just picking on china big
01:35:19.210 --> 01:35:24.350
bad china right and there are and there's some you know truthness to this big
01:35:24.350 --> 01:35:29.490
bad comment right i don't think they play fair all the time and so forth so
01:35:29.490 --> 01:35:35.090
i'm not saying that but he certainly imposed massive tariffs against china just
01:35:35.090 --> 01:35:37.170
one country however forever.
01:35:38.120 --> 01:35:46.040
China is our third largest trading partner after Canada and Mexico, okay?
01:35:46.340 --> 01:35:53.460
So that country, China, that is going to have its imports to the U.S.
01:35:53.860 --> 01:36:00.320
Face substantially higher prices is our third biggest trading partner.
01:36:00.320 --> 01:36:07.920
So we, as consumers and businesses, as buyers of inputs from China,
01:36:07.920 --> 01:36:13.220
are going to face much higher prices. And that's inflation as well.
01:36:13.240 --> 01:36:16.720
And that leads into higher interest rates.
01:36:16.720 --> 01:36:21.760
I would say, just doing back-of-the-envelope calculations,
01:36:22.440 --> 01:36:34.200
that the impact to inflation before he pulled back was less than the impact
01:36:34.200 --> 01:36:37.040
to inflation will be to the U.S.
01:36:37.840 --> 01:36:44.420
After he pulled back. So the fact that he pulled back, it doesn't eliminate
01:36:44.420 --> 01:36:50.420
inflation concerns and as a result, high interest rate concerns and so forth.
01:36:50.620 --> 01:36:55.280
He pulled back in a way he left a little bit there for most countries,
01:36:55.280 --> 01:37:03.160
but he really jacked up very high the rate for the country that we trade a lot with.
01:37:03.160 --> 01:37:07.960
In fact, third most with China, and we're going to face overall higher inflation.
01:37:08.400 --> 01:37:16.300
If those tariffs remain as is 10% and 130% against China, that change,
01:37:16.440 --> 01:37:18.900
people are interpreting it as it's a great change.
01:37:19.100 --> 01:37:23.580
No more worries about inflation. No more worries about high interest rates in the economy.
01:37:23.780 --> 01:37:27.980
I go the other way, and this is where the market's starting to go as they start
01:37:27.980 --> 01:37:33.120
thinking more about what he did, is that this is not a good move,
01:37:33.300 --> 01:37:36.960
this pulling back the way he did. This is still going to lead to big-time inflation.
01:37:37.100 --> 01:37:42.100
As a result, when he announced the pullback, we saw the markets rally.
01:37:42.660 --> 01:37:47.500
Record levels went up very high, you remember, just two days ago, right?
01:37:47.680 --> 01:37:52.460
But what happened yesterday, as some people started thinking more about this
01:37:52.460 --> 01:37:58.840
And talking somewhat along the lines of what the manner that I just described to you,
01:37:59.100 --> 01:38:04.280
the thinking is, wait a second, this isn't the best thing since sliced bread.
01:38:04.500 --> 01:38:09.760
In fact, this is pretty confusing. This may be just the opposite of that. And you saw the market.
01:38:11.140 --> 01:38:14.060
Down yesterday. And today it's probably just bouncing around.
01:38:14.280 --> 01:38:16.740
So it's very confusing times out there.
01:38:17.020 --> 01:38:22.960
You know, we, you and your listeners should be very careful with,
01:38:22.960 --> 01:38:26.540
with jumping into the market saying, well, this is a good time.
01:38:26.660 --> 01:38:27.920
It's a good buying opportunity.
01:38:28.180 --> 01:38:30.460
It's, it's reach bottom and so forth.
01:38:30.880 --> 01:38:36.700
You know, my personal opinion is not so fast. I think we have a ways to go and
01:38:36.700 --> 01:38:38.340
maybe I'll lead you with that thought.
01:38:39.260 --> 01:38:43.520
Well, well, Rick, thank you for that. I mean, and that was, that's that,
01:38:43.680 --> 01:38:49.520
that, that all of it was, was very enlightening, but that last little bit was very, very helpful.
01:38:49.520 --> 01:38:55.220
Cause I know some people who, who like to, you know, invest in the stock market
01:38:55.220 --> 01:38:59.340
and invest heavily and you know, they, they play it.
01:38:59.440 --> 01:39:04.260
And so a lot of them might've thought, okay, now I might be able to get in.
01:39:04.740 --> 01:39:11.340
But, you know, after further reflection, it's still too volatile for a lot of people.
01:39:11.700 --> 01:39:18.880
And the biggest concern is those of us who have 401ks or are on public pension plans,
01:39:19.260 --> 01:39:24.300
the way the volatility of the stock market affects the money that you think
01:39:24.300 --> 01:39:26.780
you're going to have when you retire.
01:39:27.160 --> 01:39:33.900
And so I think that, you know, Your advice basically is to tell everybody,
01:39:34.080 --> 01:39:38.360
just kind of hold your horses, wait and see what's going on,
01:39:38.520 --> 01:39:41.040
and before you do anything.
01:39:42.730 --> 01:39:48.350
Correct. Well said. All right. Well, Rick, thank you for coming on and doing this, man.
01:39:48.590 --> 01:39:52.790
I look forward to talking to you. I think we've got you scheduled later on in the year.
01:39:52.970 --> 01:39:58.610
But as always, if something's going on and you say, hey, Erik,
01:39:58.710 --> 01:40:01.830
I need to talk to the folks about this. They need to get the heads up.
01:40:02.250 --> 01:40:07.790
Just keep doing what you're doing, you know, as far as teaching the future economists
01:40:07.790 --> 01:40:12.730
of the world. But, you know, just enlightening the listeners on this podcast.
01:40:12.730 --> 01:40:14.450
I greatly appreciate you coming on.
01:40:15.090 --> 01:40:18.450
You bet. I appreciate it. I appreciate the work you do. Keep it up.
01:40:18.910 --> 01:40:21.010
All right, guys, and we'll catch out on the other side.
01:40:22.320 --> 01:40:32.880
Music.
01:40:33.110 --> 01:40:39.990
All right. And we are back. So, ladies and gentlemen, I want to thank Alan Elrod,
01:40:40.550 --> 01:40:46.930
Zaha Hassan, Lara Friedman, and Rick Roberts for coming on the program.
01:40:48.770 --> 01:40:51.990
I hope that y'all got a lot out of that.
01:40:53.470 --> 01:41:01.290
Just picking the brain to some of the smartest, more committed people in this nation.
01:41:01.290 --> 01:41:06.250
Dealing with issues that impact us all, whether it's politics,
01:41:06.690 --> 01:41:12.590
our relationship, and what's going on with the Palestinian people in America
01:41:12.590 --> 01:41:17.450
and in Gaza, and the economy itself,
01:41:17.650 --> 01:41:23.750
and all this dancing and shaking that President Trump is doing with these tariffs.
01:41:23.870 --> 01:41:31.630
I really am glad that Rick reached out to explain that and to let us know that
01:41:31.630 --> 01:41:37.450
regardless of the games that's being played, we're going to be the ones hurt by that.
01:41:38.430 --> 01:41:47.950
And for Alan and Zaha and Lara, just the type of work that they're doing to
01:41:47.950 --> 01:41:50.910
increase the political discourse, right?
01:41:51.230 --> 01:41:57.110
Whether it's a specific issue like what's going on in Gaza or just overall American
01:41:57.110 --> 01:42:00.450
politics, we've got to have intelligent discourse.
01:42:00.650 --> 01:42:03.330
We cannot suppress free speech.
01:42:04.230 --> 01:42:08.730
We just can't do that. And that was the one thing Lara wanted to make sure
01:42:08.730 --> 01:42:13.750
that I mentioned that the name of the book is called Suppressing Dissent,
01:42:14.470 --> 01:42:19.890
Shrinking Civic Space, Transnational Repression in Palestine-Israel,
01:42:20.190 --> 01:42:27.410
dealing with the book that her and Zaha worked on to highlight the concerns
01:42:27.410 --> 01:42:29.070
that they have and others,
01:42:29.550 --> 01:42:33.550
you know, what we're seeing with the mass deportations and all that stuff,
01:42:34.310 --> 01:42:41.590
you know, specifically targeting folks that are speaking up for the Palestinians in Gaza.
01:42:42.955 --> 01:42:50.255
Yeah, we just got to get to a point, ladies and gentlemen, where we need to
01:42:50.255 --> 01:42:55.615
be respectful to each other, but we also need to be able to say what we need to say.
01:42:57.555 --> 01:43:05.875
And, you know, the reason why we have all this volatility, the reason why we have all this unrest,
01:43:06.095 --> 01:43:12.935
the reason why we have all of this discontent is because people feel that they're not being heard.
01:43:14.295 --> 01:43:21.415
And you can't have a one-way conversation. It's got to be at least two ways, right?
01:43:22.575 --> 01:43:26.715
The old saying is you can't listen with your mouth open. Right.
01:43:27.335 --> 01:43:32.335
So, you know, hopefully y'all are getting something out of this.
01:43:32.495 --> 01:43:41.875
Hopefully y'all feel that, you know, we're contributing to increasing and improving the dialogue.
01:43:42.515 --> 01:43:48.215
So I'm still looking for 20,000 subscribers, guys. Because, you know, that's the goal I set.
01:43:48.475 --> 01:43:53.775
Whenever I get to it, it's not like, oh, we got to do it by next month and all this other stuff.
01:43:53.955 --> 01:43:57.315
I'm being realistic about it. But that's the goal.
01:43:57.495 --> 01:44:03.855
I'm trying to get to 20,000 subscribers so that we can continue to expand this
01:44:03.855 --> 01:44:11.815
dialogue in these volatile times without, you know, any interference or encumbrance. Right.
01:44:12.355 --> 01:44:15.995
It's time. It's time for us to raise the level.
01:44:17.575 --> 01:44:24.055
So I just thank y'all for listening to the podcast.
01:44:24.235 --> 01:44:28.215
I thank y'all for, you know, spreading the word.
01:44:28.975 --> 01:44:33.395
For those of you who are going to subscribe or have subscribed,
01:44:33.395 --> 01:44:34.975
I greatly appreciate that.
01:44:35.455 --> 01:44:38.775
And we're just going to keep it going. We're just going to keep pushing.
01:44:39.755 --> 01:44:44.395
So again, thank you to my guests. Thank you all for listening. Until next time.
01:44:45.040 --> 01:45:32.648
Music.

Alan Elrod
President and CEO, The Pulaski Institution
Alan Elrod is the president and CEO of The Pulaski Institution, a new think tank dedicated to the connection between global politics and economics and heartland areas. He lives outside Little Rock, Arkansas.

Zaha Hassan
Human rights lawyer and analyst
Zaha Hassan is a human rights lawyer and a fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Her research focus is on Palestine-Israel peace, transnational repression and shrinking civic space for Palestine/Israel discourse, the use of international legal mechanisms by political movements, and U.S. foreign policy in the region. Previously, she was the coordinator and senior legal advisor to the Palestinian negotiating team during Palestine’s bid for UN membership, and was a member of the Palestinian delegation to Quartet-sponsored exploratory talks between 2011 and 2012.
Her most recent publication is a co-edited book, Suppressing Dissent: Shrinking Civic Space, Transnational Repression and Palestine-Israel available here: https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/10/suppressing-dissent-shrinking-civic-space-transnational-repression-and-palestine-israel?lang=en

Richard Roberts
Richard Roberts is a Specialist Professor in the Department of Economics, Finance, and Real Estate at Monmouth University, teaching courses in variety of areas, importantly macroeconomics and money and banking.
Rick is a former 20+ year executive of the Federal Reserve System. Across his tenure, he headed the New York Central Bank’s Credit Risk Management during the 2008 financial crisis, led the Payment Systems Risk area, chaired key System committees on counterparty risk identification and mitigation, and oversaw the preparation of FOMC monetary policy briefing materials for the President of the Kansas City Reserve Bank. Moreover, he took a brief break from the Fed in the early 2000s to start and run a boutique subprime-mortgage hedge fund.
Rick has published a variety of articles on topics including Monetary Policy, Money and Banking, and the US economic outlook. His 2016 book “Firewood Held” was a top 20 business book in China.
He holds an MBA with honors from Columbia University and an Economics degree with high honors from Pennsylvania State University.

Lara Friedman
President, Foundation for Middle East Peace
Lara Friedman is the President of the Foundation for Middle East Peace (FMEP). She is a leading authority on the Middle East, with particular expertise on U.S. foreign policy in the region, on Israel/Palestine, and on the way Middle East and Israel/Palestine-related issues play out in Congress and in U.S. domestic politics, policies, and legislation. Lara is also a preeminent subject-matter expert in the area of anti-Palestinian legislation and “lawfare,” including the weaponization and instrumentalization of the definition of and concerns about antisemitism. Lara’s research on lawfare- and antisemitism-related topics – which she makes available to the public – is widely cited and widely recognized as the authoritative data in the field. Lara is a former officer in the U.S. Foreign Service, with diplomatic postings in Jerusalem, Washington, Tunis and Beirut. She also served previously as the Director of Policy and Government Relations at Americans for Peace Now. In addition to her work with FMEP, Lara is a non-resident fellow at the U.S./Middle East Project (USMEP). She holds a B.A. from the University of Arizona and a Master’s degree from Georgetown’s School of Foreign Service; in addition to English, Lara speaks French, Arabic, Spanish, (weak) Italian, and muddles through in Hebrew.